Snail Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SNAL Stock   0.75  0.01  1.58%   
Snail Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Snail's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Snail's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Snail fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Snail's share price is approaching 36. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Snail, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 36

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Snail's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Snail and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Snail's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Snail Class A, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Snail's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.07
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.75)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.12
Wall Street Target Price
3
Using Snail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Snail Class A from the perspective of Snail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Snail Relative Strength Index

The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Snail Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 0.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.66.

Snail Class A Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Snail's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Snail. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Snail can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Snail Class A. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Snail's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Snail.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Snail Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 0.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.66.

Snail after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Snail to cross-verify your projections.

Snail Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Snail price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Snail using various technical indicators. When you analyze Snail charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Snail polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Snail Class A as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Snail Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Snail Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 0.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Snail Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Snail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Snail Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Snail  Snail Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Snail Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Snail's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Snail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.18, respectively. We have considered Snail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.75
0.70
Expected Value
4.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Snail stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Snail stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.3889
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0272
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0311
SAESum of the absolute errors1.6602
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Snail historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Snail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Snail Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.754.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.304.78
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.733.003.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Snail. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Snail's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Snail's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Snail Class A.

Snail After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Snail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Snail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Snail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Snail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Snail's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Snail's historical news coverage. Snail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 4.23, respectively. We have considered Snail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.75
0.75
After-hype Price
4.23
Upside
Snail is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Snail Class A is based on 3 months time horizon.

Snail Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Snail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Snail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Snail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
3.48
 0.00  
  0.02 
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.75
0.75
0.27 
0.00  
Notes

Snail Hype Timeline

Snail Class A is at this time traded for 0.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Snail is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Snail is about 6692.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.77. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 84.47 M. Net Income was 1.83 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.16 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Snail to cross-verify your projections.

Snail Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Snail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Snail's future price movements. Getting to know how Snail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Snail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NCTYThe9 Ltd ADR 0.15 20 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.71 (6.68) 18.11 
BLIVBeLive Holdings Ordinary 0.29 3 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.96 (8.10) 25.76 
SVRESaverOne 2014 Ltd(0.08)3 per month 0.00 (0.14) 13.49 (11.38) 64.89 
VBIXViewbix Common Stock 0.03 17 per month 0.00 (0.07) 10.76 (7.00) 53.07 
INTZIntrusion 0.01 21 per month 0.00 (0.12) 7.19 (8.27) 23.35 
LPSNLivePerson 0.15 8 per month 0.00 (0.20) 7.31 (6.85) 25.36 
MOBXMobix Labs(0.01)6 per month 0.00 (0.18) 12.50 (13.51) 61.62 
CISOCerberus Cyber Sentinel(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 8.33 (8.51) 30.92 
GIFTRDE Inc 0.01 9 per month 2.94  0.0006  4.67 (5.22) 19.06 
BMRBeamr Imaging Ltd(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.90 (8.19) 19.23 

Other Forecasting Options for Snail

For every potential investor in Snail, whether a beginner or expert, Snail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Snail Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Snail. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Snail's price trends.

Snail Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Snail stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Snail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Snail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Snail Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Snail stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Snail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Snail stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Snail Class A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Snail Risk Indicators

The analysis of Snail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Snail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting snail stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Snail

The number of cover stories for Snail depends on current market conditions and Snail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Snail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Snail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Snail Short Properties

Snail's future price predictability will typically decrease when Snail's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Snail Class A often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Snail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Snail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.3 M
When determining whether Snail Class A is a strong investment it is important to analyze Snail's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Snail's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Snail Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Snail to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Snail. If investors know Snail will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Snail listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Earnings Share
(0.69)
Revenue Per Share
2.211
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.39)
Return On Assets
(0.13)
The market value of Snail Class A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Snail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Snail's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Snail's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Snail's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Snail's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Snail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Snail is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Snail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.