Sonida Senior Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SNDA Stock  USD 24.83  0.33  1.35%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sonida Senior Living on the next trading day is expected to be 24.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.00. Sonida Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sonida Senior stock prices and determine the direction of Sonida Senior Living's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sonida Senior's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 16.00, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 1.76. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 7.1 M, whereas Net Loss is forecasted to decline to (71.2 M).
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Sonida Senior Living is based on a synthetically constructed Sonida Seniordaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Sonida Senior 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sonida Senior Living on the next trading day is expected to be 24.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46, mean absolute percentage error of 3.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sonida Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sonida Senior's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sonida Senior Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sonida Senior Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sonida Senior's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sonida Senior's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.55 and 27.67, respectively. We have considered Sonida Senior's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.83
24.61
Expected Value
27.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sonida Senior stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sonida Senior stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.5915
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.65
MADMean absolute deviation1.4634
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0616
SAESum of the absolute errors59.9985
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Sonida Senior Living 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Sonida Senior

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sonida Senior Living. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sonida Senior's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6624.7127.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8114.8626.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.6024.7027.79
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.555.005.55
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sonida Senior

For every potential investor in Sonida, whether a beginner or expert, Sonida Senior's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sonida Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sonida. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sonida Senior's price trends.

Sonida Senior Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sonida Senior stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sonida Senior could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sonida Senior by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sonida Senior Living Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sonida Senior's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sonida Senior's current price.

Sonida Senior Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sonida Senior stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sonida Senior shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sonida Senior stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sonida Senior Living entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sonida Senior Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sonida Senior's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sonida Senior's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sonida stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Sonida Senior Living offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sonida Senior's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sonida Senior Living Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sonida Senior Living Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sonida Senior to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sonida Senior. If investors know Sonida will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sonida Senior listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.22)
Earnings Share
(2.36)
Revenue Per Share
26.27
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.11
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Sonida Senior Living is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sonida that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sonida Senior's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sonida Senior's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sonida Senior's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sonida Senior's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sonida Senior's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sonida Senior is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sonida Senior's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.