Schneider National Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SNDR Stock  USD 26.53  0.32  1.19%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Schneider National on the next trading day is expected to be 25.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.39. Schneider Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Schneider National's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Schneider National's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Schneider National fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Schneider National's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Schneider National's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Schneider National and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Schneider National's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Schneider National, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Schneider National's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.35)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2295
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.7036
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.104
Wall Street Target Price
26.8929
Using Schneider National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Schneider National from the perspective of Schneider National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Schneider National using Schneider National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Schneider using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Schneider National's stock price.

Schneider National Short Interest

An investor who is long Schneider National may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Schneider National and may potentially protect profits, hedge Schneider National with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
23.7432
Short Percent
0.1057
Short Ratio
5
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
23.9458

Schneider National Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Schneider National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Schneider. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Schneider can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Schneider National. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Schneider National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Schneider National.

Schneider National Implied Volatility

    
  0.67  
Schneider National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Schneider National stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Schneider National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Schneider National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Schneider National's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Schneider National on the next trading day is expected to be 25.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.39.

Schneider National after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Schneider National to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Schneider Stock, please use our How to Invest in Schneider National guide.At this time, Schneider National's Inventory Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/03/2026, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 2.75, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 14.68. . As of 01/03/2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 193.3 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 282.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Schneider Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Schneider National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Schneider National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Schneider National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Schneider National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Schneider National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Schneider National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Schneider. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Schneider National Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Schneider price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Schneider using various technical indicators. When you analyze Schneider charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Schneider National Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Schneider National's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2014-12-31
Previous Quarter
160.7 M
Current Value
194.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
195.1 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Schneider National is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Schneider National value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Schneider National Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Schneider National on the next trading day is expected to be 25.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Schneider Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Schneider National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Schneider National Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Schneider NationalSchneider National Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Schneider National Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Schneider National's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Schneider National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.52 and 27.83, respectively. We have considered Schneider National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.53
25.17
Expected Value
27.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Schneider National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Schneider National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2924
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5637
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0243
SAESum of the absolute errors34.3875
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Schneider National. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Schneider National. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Schneider National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schneider National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Schneider National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.8926.5329.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.5025.1427.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.7325.2529.77
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.4726.8929.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Schneider National

For every potential investor in Schneider, whether a beginner or expert, Schneider National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Schneider Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Schneider. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Schneider National's price trends.

Schneider National Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Schneider National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Schneider National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Schneider National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Schneider National Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Schneider National's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Schneider National's current price.

Schneider National Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Schneider National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Schneider National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Schneider National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Schneider National entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Schneider National Risk Indicators

The analysis of Schneider National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Schneider National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting schneider stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Schneider National

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Schneider National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Schneider National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Schneider Stock

  0.93KNX Knight Transportation Sell-off TrendPairCorr
  0.81JBHT JB Hunt TransportPairCorr
  0.86MRTN Marten TransportPairCorr

Moving against Schneider Stock

  0.63PIFMY Indofood Sukses MakmurPairCorr
  0.42PTAIF PT Astra InternationalPairCorr
  0.4CVX Chevron CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Schneider National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Schneider National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Schneider National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Schneider National to buy it.
The correlation of Schneider National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Schneider National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Schneider National moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Schneider National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Schneider Stock Analysis

When running Schneider National's price analysis, check to measure Schneider National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Schneider National is operating at the current time. Most of Schneider National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Schneider National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Schneider National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Schneider National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.