Schneider National Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

SNDR Stock  USD 31.41  0.25  0.80%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Schneider National on the next trading day is expected to be 30.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.37. Schneider Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Schneider National's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Schneider National's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Schneider National fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Schneider National's Inventory Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 2.84, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 14.65. . As of 11/22/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 193.3 M, while Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 282.6 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Schneider National is based on an artificially constructed time series of Schneider National daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Schneider National 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Schneider National on the next trading day is expected to be 30.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Schneider Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Schneider National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Schneider National Stock Forecast Pattern

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Schneider National Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Schneider National's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Schneider National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.51 and 32.35, respectively. We have considered Schneider National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.41
30.93
Expected Value
32.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Schneider National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Schneider National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.0244
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.35
MADMean absolute deviation0.5919
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors31.3688
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Schneider National 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Schneider National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schneider National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Schneider National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.6432.0633.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.2735.1936.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.9029.7732.65
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.6034.7338.55
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Schneider National

For every potential investor in Schneider, whether a beginner or expert, Schneider National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Schneider Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Schneider. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Schneider National's price trends.

Schneider National Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Schneider National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Schneider National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Schneider National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Schneider National Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Schneider National's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Schneider National's current price.

Schneider National Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Schneider National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Schneider National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Schneider National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Schneider National entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Schneider National Risk Indicators

The analysis of Schneider National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Schneider National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting schneider stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Schneider National

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Schneider National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Schneider National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Schneider Stock

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  0.92WERN Werner EnterprisesPairCorr
  0.82AAL American Airlines Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025 PairCorr

Moving against Schneider Stock

  0.72BA Boeing Fiscal Year End 29th of January 2025 PairCorr
  0.66FLYX flyExclusive,PairCorr
  0.64CP Canadian Pacific RailwayPairCorr
  0.46FA First Advantage CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Schneider National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Schneider National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Schneider National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Schneider National to buy it.
The correlation of Schneider National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Schneider National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Schneider National moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Schneider National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Schneider Stock Analysis

When running Schneider National's price analysis, check to measure Schneider National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Schneider National is operating at the current time. Most of Schneider National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Schneider National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Schneider National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Schneider National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.