Sony Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SNEJF Stock  USD 18.00  1.11  5.81%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sony Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 670.94. Sony Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sony Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Sony Corp - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Sony Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Sony Corp price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Sony Corp.

Sony Corp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sony Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 18.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.37, mean absolute percentage error of 512.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 670.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sony Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sony Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sony Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Sony Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sony Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sony Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.18 and 121.76, respectively. We have considered Sony Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.00
18.47
Expected Value
121.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sony Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sony Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.7545
MADMean absolute deviation11.3719
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.4564
SAESum of the absolute errors670.94
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Sony Corp observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Sony Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Sony Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sony Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.9018.001,818
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.8617.281,817
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.3518.0519.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sony Corp

For every potential investor in Sony, whether a beginner or expert, Sony Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sony Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sony. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sony Corp's price trends.

Sony Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sony Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sony Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sony Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sony Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sony Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sony Corp's current price.

Sony Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sony Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sony Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sony Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sony Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sony Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sony Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sony Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sony pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Sony Pink Sheet

Sony Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sony Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sony with respect to the benefits of owning Sony Corp security.