SOHO China Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SOHOF Stock  USD 0.06  0.00  0.00%   
SOHO Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SOHO China's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of SOHO China's share price is below 30 as of 27th of January 2026. This usually implies that the pink sheet is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling SOHO China Limited, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 25

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SOHO China's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SOHO China and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SOHO China's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SOHO China Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SOHO China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SOHO China Limited from the perspective of SOHO China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SOHO China Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.

SOHO China after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SOHO China to cross-verify your projections.

SOHO China Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SOHO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SOHO using various technical indicators. When you analyze SOHO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for SOHO China is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

SOHO China Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SOHO China Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000417, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SOHO Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SOHO China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SOHO China Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest SOHO China  SOHO China Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

SOHO China Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SOHO China's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SOHO China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0006 and 2.92, respectively. We have considered SOHO China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.06
0.0006
Downside
0.06
Expected Value
2.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SOHO China pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SOHO China pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.8842
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0077
SAESum of the absolute errors0.03
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of SOHO China Limited price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of SOHO China. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for SOHO China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOHO China Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.062.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.052.91
Details

SOHO China After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SOHO China at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SOHO China or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SOHO China, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SOHO China Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SOHO China's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SOHO China's historical news coverage. SOHO China's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 2.92, respectively. We have considered SOHO China's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.06
0.06
After-hype Price
2.92
Upside
SOHO China is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SOHO China Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

SOHO China Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SOHO China is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SOHO China backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SOHO China, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
2.86
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.06
0.06
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

SOHO China Hype Timeline

SOHO China Limited is at this time traded for 0.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SOHO is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on SOHO China is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.18. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SOHO China Limited has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SOHO China to cross-verify your projections.

SOHO China Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SOHO China's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SOHO China's future price movements. Getting to know how SOHO China's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SOHO China may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JPPSFJinmao Property Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SIOLFSino Ocean Group Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.00  0.00  98.03 
MDTWFMediterranean Towers 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 0.00  0.00  6.44 
LSLPFLSL Property Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 0.00  0.00  9.60 
AGGHFAgrios Global Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AGPYYAgile Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  52.79 
AYAAYAyala Land 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.00  0.00  28.58 
GZUHFGuangzhou RF Properties 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MODVFMelcor Developments 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  1.73 (0.90) 5.28 
WFICFWall Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for SOHO China

For every potential investor in SOHO, whether a beginner or expert, SOHO China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SOHO Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SOHO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SOHO China's price trends.

SOHO China Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SOHO China pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SOHO China could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SOHO China by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SOHO China Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SOHO China pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SOHO China shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SOHO China pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SOHO China Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SOHO China Risk Indicators

The analysis of SOHO China's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SOHO China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting soho pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SOHO China

The number of cover stories for SOHO China depends on current market conditions and SOHO China's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SOHO China is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SOHO China's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in SOHO Pink Sheet

SOHO China financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOHO Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOHO with respect to the benefits of owning SOHO China security.