Southern Company Stock Forward View
| SOJE Stock | USD 18.34 0.16 0.86% |
Southern Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Southern Company stock prices and determine the direction of Southern Company Series's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Southern Company's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Southern Company's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Southern Company, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southern Company hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Company Series from the perspective of Southern Company response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Southern Company Series on the next trading day is expected to be 18.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.99. Southern Company after-hype prediction price | USD 18.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Company to cross-verify your projections. Southern Company Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Southern Company Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Southern Company's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1993-06-30 | Previous Quarter 3.3 B | Current Value 1.6 B | Quarterly Volatility 724.7 M |
Southern Company Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Southern Company Series on the next trading day is expected to be 18.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southern Company's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Southern Company Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Southern Company | Southern Company Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Southern Company Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Southern Company's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southern Company's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.19 and 19.07, respectively. We have considered Southern Company's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern Company stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern Company stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6189 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0965 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0054 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.9852 |
Predictive Modules for Southern Company
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southern Company After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern Company at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern Company or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Southern Company, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern Company Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern Company's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern Company's historical news coverage. Southern Company's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.08 and 18.92, respectively. We have considered Southern Company's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern Company is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern Company Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern Company is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern Company backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern Company, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.34 | 18.50 | 0.00 |
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Southern Company Hype Timeline
Southern Company is at this time traded for 18.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Southern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern Company is about 50.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.28. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Company to cross-verify your projections.Southern Company Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern Company's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern Company's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern Company's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern Company may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KEP | Korea Electric Power | (0.09) | 9 per month | 3.28 | 0.06 | 6.12 | (4.13) | 19.98 | |
| EIX | Edison International | (1.93) | 6 per month | 1.27 | 0.20 | 3.01 | (2.41) | 6.29 | |
| DUK | Duke Energy | 0.71 | 9 per month | 0.93 | 0.02 | 1.58 | (1.39) | 3.80 | |
| AQNB | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.07 | (0.22) | 0.51 | (0.35) | 1.56 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.77 | 11 per month | 0.93 | 0.01 | 1.32 | (1.31) | 3.92 | |
| OKLO | Oklo Inc | (5.21) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.70 | (8.93) | 30.72 | |
| EVRG | Evergy | (0.63) | 10 per month | 0.86 | 0.06 | 2.07 | (1.31) | 4.29 | |
| NI | NiSource | (0.67) | 26 per month | 0.99 | 0.08 | 1.42 | (1.61) | 5.63 |
Other Forecasting Options for Southern Company
For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern Company's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern Company's price trends.Southern Company Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern Company stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern Company could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern Company by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Southern Company Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern Company stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern Company shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern Company stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern Company Series entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Southern Company Risk Indicators
The analysis of Southern Company's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Southern Company's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3089 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2208 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4257 | |||
| Variance | 0.1812 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1918 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0488 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Southern Company
The number of cover stories for Southern Company depends on current market conditions and Southern Company's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern Company is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern Company's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Southern Company Short Properties
Southern Company's future price predictability will typically decrease when Southern Company's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Southern Company Series often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Southern Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Company to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Southern Stock refer to our How to Trade Southern Stock guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Southern diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern Company. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Southern Company data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Southern Company requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Southern's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Southern Company's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Southern Company's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Company's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Company is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Southern Company's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.