Duke Energy Stock Price Patterns
| DUK Stock | USD 126.71 1.49 1.16% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7165 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.7021 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.1575 | Wall Street Target Price 135.7059 |
Using Duke Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duke Energy from the perspective of Duke Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Duke Energy using Duke Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Duke using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Duke Energy's stock price.
Duke Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long Duke Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Duke Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Duke Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 120.5024 | Short Percent 0.0173 | Short Ratio 3.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.2 M | 50 Day MA 118.652 |
Duke Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Duke Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Duke. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Duke can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Duke Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Duke Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Duke Energy.
Duke Energy Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Duke Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Duke Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Duke Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Duke Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Duke Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Duke Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Duke because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Duke Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 126.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Duke contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Duke Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Duke Energy trading at USD 126.71, that is roughly USD 0.0325 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Duke Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Duke Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Duke Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duke Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Duke Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Duke Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Duke Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Duke Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Duke Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Duke Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Duke Energy's historical news coverage. Duke Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 125.84 and 127.80, respectively. We have considered Duke Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Duke Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Duke Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Duke Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Duke Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Duke Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Duke Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.98 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
126.71 | 126.82 | 0.09 |
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Duke Energy Hype Timeline
On the 18th of February 2026 Duke Energy is traded for 126.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Duke is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 126.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 68.53%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Duke Energy is about 334.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 126.73. The company reported the last year's revenue of 32.24 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.07 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 16.5 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Duke Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Duke Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Duke Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Duke Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Duke Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Duke Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SO | Southern Company | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.05 | (0.01) | 1.85 | (1.84) | 4.07 | |
| NGG | National Grid PLC | (0.02) | 12 per month | 0.62 | 0.24 | 1.93 | (1.10) | 4.05 | |
| AEP | American Electric Power | 1.08 | 7 per month | 0.87 | 0.05 | 1.98 | (1.52) | 4.63 | |
| D | Dominion Energy | 0.39 | 11 per month | 1.17 | 0.06 | 2.08 | (2.04) | 5.71 | |
| EXC | Exelon | (0.12) | 8 per month | 1.09 | 0.03 | 1.52 | (1.77) | 5.02 | |
| XEL | Xcel Energy | (0.95) | 10 per month | 1.20 | (0.04) | 1.62 | (1.88) | 3.97 | |
| ETR | Entergy | 1.26 | 9 per month | 1.06 | 0.07 | 1.91 | (1.73) | 4.91 | |
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise | 1.02 | 12 per month | 1.01 | 0.02 | 1.73 | (1.74) | 4.66 | |
| WEC | WEC Energy Group | 2.34 | 10 per month | 0.77 | 0.02 | 1.33 | (1.22) | 3.42 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | (2.43) | 9 per month | 1.04 | 0.02 | 1.45 | (1.55) | 3.27 |
Duke Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Duke price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duke using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duke charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Duke Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Duke Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Duke Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Duke Energy based on analysis of Duke Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Duke Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Duke Energy's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0434 | 0.036 | 0.0617 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.57 | 2.83 | 2.97 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Duke Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Duke Stock please use our How to buy in Duke Stock guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duke Energy. Projected growth potential of Duke fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Duke Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 4.22 | Earnings Share 6.31 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.144 |
Duke Energy's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Duke's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Duke Energy's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Duke Energy's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Duke Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Duke Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Duke Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.