Solstice Advanced Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SOLS Stock  USD 49.20  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Solstice Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 42.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 267.69. Solstice Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Solstice Advanced's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Solstice Advanced's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Solstice Advanced and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Solstice Advanced's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Solstice Advanced Materials, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Solstice Advanced's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.068
Using Solstice Advanced hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Solstice Advanced Materials from the perspective of Solstice Advanced response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Solstice Advanced using Solstice Advanced's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Solstice using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Solstice Advanced's stock price.

Solstice Advanced Short Interest

An investor who is long Solstice Advanced may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Solstice Advanced and may potentially protect profits, hedge Solstice Advanced with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
46.844
Shares Short Prior Month
2.4 M
Shares Short
2.9 M

Solstice Advanced Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Solstice Advanced's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Solstice. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Solstice can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Solstice Advanced Materials. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Solstice Advanced's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Solstice Advanced.

Solstice Advanced Implied Volatility

    
  0.61  
Solstice Advanced's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Solstice Advanced Materials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Solstice Advanced's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Solstice Advanced stock will not fluctuate a lot when Solstice Advanced's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Solstice Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 42.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 267.69.

Solstice Advanced after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 48.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solstice Advanced to cross-verify your projections.
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 3.49 in 2026. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 2.50 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 127 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Solstice Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Solstice Advanced's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Solstice Advanced's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Solstice Advanced stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Solstice Advanced's open interest, investors have to compare it to Solstice Advanced's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Solstice Advanced is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Solstice. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Solstice Advanced Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Solstice price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Solstice using various technical indicators. When you analyze Solstice charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Solstice Advanced's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
760.1 M
Current Value
696.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
43.1 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Solstice Advanced is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Solstice Advanced Materials value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Solstice Advanced Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Solstice Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 42.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.39, mean absolute percentage error of 48.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 267.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Solstice Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Solstice Advanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Solstice Advanced Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Solstice AdvancedSolstice Advanced Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Solstice Advanced Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Solstice Advanced's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Solstice Advanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.69 and 45.91, respectively. We have considered Solstice Advanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
49.20
42.80
Expected Value
45.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Solstice Advanced stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Solstice Advanced stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.9967
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.3883
MAPEMean absolute percentage error16114.9857
SAESum of the absolute errors267.6865
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Solstice Advanced Materials. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Solstice Advanced. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Solstice Advanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Solstice Advanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.4848.5951.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.2739.3853.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.6648.0151.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Solstice Advanced

For every potential investor in Solstice, whether a beginner or expert, Solstice Advanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Solstice Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Solstice. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Solstice Advanced's price trends.

Solstice Advanced Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Solstice Advanced stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Solstice Advanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Solstice Advanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Solstice Advanced Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Solstice Advanced's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Solstice Advanced's current price.

Solstice Advanced Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Solstice Advanced stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Solstice Advanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Solstice Advanced stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Solstice Advanced Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Solstice Advanced Risk Indicators

The analysis of Solstice Advanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Solstice Advanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting solstice stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation1444441.46
Standard Deviation5957615.85
Variance3.549318660201116E13
Downside Variance8.74
Semi Variance(744,782)
Expected Short fall(2,104,346)
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Solstice Stock Analysis

When running Solstice Advanced's price analysis, check to measure Solstice Advanced's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Solstice Advanced is operating at the current time. Most of Solstice Advanced's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Solstice Advanced's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Solstice Advanced's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Solstice Advanced to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.