Prospect Capital Stock Price Prediction
| PSEC Stock | USD 2.89 0.03 1.05% |
Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.11 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.42 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.38 | Wall Street Target Price 2.5 |
Using Prospect Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prospect Capital from the perspective of Prospect Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Prospect Capital using Prospect Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Prospect using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Prospect Capital's stock price.
Prospect Capital Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Prospect Capital's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Prospect. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Prospect Capital stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.0093 | Short Percent 0.1081 | Short Ratio 8.66 | Shares Short Prior Month 36.8 M | 50 Day MA 2.6746 |
Prospect Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Prospect Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Prospect. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Prospect can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Prospect Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Prospect Capital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Prospect Capital.
Prospect Capital Implied Volatility | 1.64 |
Prospect Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Prospect Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Prospect Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Prospect Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Prospect Capital's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Prospect Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Prospect because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Prospect Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 2.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Prospect Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prospect Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Prospect Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Prospect Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prospect Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Prospect Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Prospect Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Prospect Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prospect Capital's historical news coverage. Prospect Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.85 and 4.95, respectively. We have considered Prospect Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Prospect Capital is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prospect Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Prospect Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prospect Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prospect Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prospect Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.05 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.89 | 2.90 | 0.35 |
|
Prospect Capital Hype Timeline
Prospect Capital is at this time traded for 2.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Prospect is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Prospect Capital is about 1550.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.87. Net Loss for the year was (469.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 680.75 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Prospect Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Prospect Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Prospect Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prospect Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Prospect Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prospect Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | (0.02) | 24 per month | 1.02 | (0.07) | 1.88 | (1.93) | 4.85 | |
| CSWC | Capital Southwest | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.89 | 0.13 | 2.20 | (2.02) | 6.18 | |
| MFIC | MidCap Financial Investment | (1.32) | 7 per month | 1.39 | (0.04) | 2.18 | (1.47) | 6.99 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | 0.13 | 5 per month | 1.01 | (0.03) | 1.66 | (1.69) | 5.28 | |
| FSCO | FS Credit Opportunities | 0.04 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.95 | (2.62) | 5.72 | |
| PX | P10 Inc | (0.02) | 19 per month | 2.17 | 0.02 | 4.03 | (3.41) | 9.58 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.80 | 0.12 | 2.53 | (1.59) | 11.64 | |
| OCSL | Oaktree Specialty Lending | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.05 | (0.06) | 2.11 | (1.95) | 7.02 | |
| TRINI | Trinity Capital 7875 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.07 | (0.18) | 0.40 | (0.28) | 1.32 |
Prospect Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Prospect price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prospect using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prospect charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Prospect Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Prospect Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Prospect Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Prospect Capital based on analysis of Prospect Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Prospect Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Prospect Capital's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.63 | 0.47 | 0.54 | Dividend Yield | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.21 |
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When running Prospect Capital's price analysis, check to measure Prospect Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Prospect Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Prospect Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Prospect Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Prospect Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Prospect Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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