Sonder Holdings Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SONDW Stock  USD 0.01  0.0001  1.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sonder Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07. Sonder Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Sonder Holdings' Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 0.58 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 12.28 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 5.3 M in 2024.
Triple exponential smoothing for Sonder Holdings - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Sonder Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Sonder Holdings price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Sonder Holdings.

Sonder Holdings Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sonder Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000291, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sonder Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sonder Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sonder Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sonder HoldingsSonder Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sonder Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sonder Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sonder Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000099 and 17.92, respectively. We have considered Sonder Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.000099
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
17.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sonder Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sonder Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0012
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1117
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0722
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Sonder Holdings observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Sonder Holdings observations.

Predictive Modules for Sonder Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sonder Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sonder Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0117.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0117.92
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sonder Holdings

For every potential investor in Sonder, whether a beginner or expert, Sonder Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sonder Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sonder. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sonder Holdings' price trends.

Sonder Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sonder Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sonder Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sonder Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sonder Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sonder Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sonder Holdings' current price.

Sonder Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sonder Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sonder Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sonder Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sonder Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sonder Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sonder Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sonder Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sonder stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Sonder Stock Analysis

When running Sonder Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Sonder Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sonder Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Sonder Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sonder Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sonder Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sonder Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.