Shield On Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

SOSS Stock  IDR 935.00  15.00  1.58%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Shield On Service on the next trading day is expected to be 929.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 91.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,581. Shield Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Shield On's share price is approaching 45. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shield On, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shield On's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shield On Service, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Shield On hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shield On Service from the perspective of Shield On response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Shield On Service on the next trading day is expected to be 929.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 91.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,581.

Shield On after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 935.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shield On to cross-verify your projections.

Shield On Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shield price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shield using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Shield On price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Shield On Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Shield On Service on the next trading day is expected to be 929.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 91.49, mean absolute percentage error of 12,696, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,581.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shield Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shield On's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shield On Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Shield OnShield On Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Shield On Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shield On's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shield On's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 923.87 and 934.49, respectively. We have considered Shield On's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
935.00
923.87
Downside
929.18
Expected Value
934.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shield On stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shield On stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.5595
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation91.4929
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0971
SAESum of the absolute errors5581.0682
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Shield On Service historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Shield On

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shield On Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
929.73935.00940.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
801.13806.401,028
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
797.561,0101,221
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shield On

For every potential investor in Shield, whether a beginner or expert, Shield On's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shield Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shield. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shield On's price trends.

Shield On Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shield On stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shield On could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shield On by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shield On Service Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shield On's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shield On's current price.

Shield On Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shield On stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shield On shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shield On stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shield On Service entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shield On Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shield On's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shield On's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shield stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Shield Stock

Shield On financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shield Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shield with respect to the benefits of owning Shield On security.