SoundHound Stock Forward View

SOUNW Stock  USD 2.38  0.17  6.67%   
SoundHound Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of SoundHound's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SoundHound's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SoundHound and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SoundHound's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SoundHound AI, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SoundHound's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.676
Using SoundHound hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SoundHound AI from the perspective of SoundHound response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SoundHound AI on the next trading day is expected to be 1.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.22.

SoundHound after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SoundHound to cross-verify your projections.

SoundHound Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SoundHound price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SoundHound using various technical indicators. When you analyze SoundHound charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the SoundHound's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
228 M
Current Value
239.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
78 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for SoundHound is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SoundHound AI value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SoundHound Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SoundHound AI on the next trading day is expected to be 1.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SoundHound Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SoundHound's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SoundHound Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SoundHound  SoundHound Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

SoundHound Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SoundHound's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SoundHound's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.19, respectively. We have considered SoundHound's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.38
1.28
Expected Value
7.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SoundHound stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SoundHound stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.716
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2777
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0667
SAESum of the absolute errors17.2155
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SoundHound AI. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SoundHound. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SoundHound

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SoundHound AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.568.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.288.19
Details

SoundHound After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SoundHound at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SoundHound or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SoundHound, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SoundHound Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SoundHound's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SoundHound's historical news coverage. SoundHound's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 8.47, respectively. We have considered SoundHound's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.38
2.56
After-hype Price
8.47
Upside
SoundHound is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SoundHound AI is based on 3 months time horizon.

SoundHound Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SoundHound is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SoundHound backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SoundHound, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.49 
5.91
  0.18 
  0.85 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.38
2.56
7.56 
4,925  
Notes

SoundHound Hype Timeline

SoundHound AI is at this time traded for 2.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.85. SoundHound is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 7.56%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.49%. The volatility of related hype on SoundHound is about 1040.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.53. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (2.11) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (1.09) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $1.09. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SoundHound to cross-verify your projections.

SoundHound Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SoundHound's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SoundHound's future price movements. Getting to know how SoundHound's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SoundHound may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PCTYPaylocity Holdng(0.58)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.51 (4.46) 11.07 
LIFLife360 Common Stock 0.47 10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 5.57 (5.95) 36.17 
MTCHMatch Group(0.52)11 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.22 (1.84) 13.57 
SRADSportradar Group AG(0.04)9 per month 0.00 (0.28) 2.44 (4.19) 10.47 
DSGXDescartes Systems Group 0.22 12 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.02 (3.74) 23.15 
NICENice Ltd ADR 0.58 12 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.24 (3.81) 18.80 
GTLBGitlab Inc(0.11)9 per month 0.00 (0.20) 4.70 (5.93) 19.92 
LYFTLYFT Inc 0.55 9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.73 (6.70) 14.46 
INFAInformatica 0.01 2 per month 0.12 (0.30) 0.16 (0.16) 1.08 
TTANServiceTitan Class A(6.26)11 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.59 (4.97) 21.98 

Other Forecasting Options for SoundHound

For every potential investor in SoundHound, whether a beginner or expert, SoundHound's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SoundHound Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SoundHound. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SoundHound's price trends.

SoundHound Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SoundHound stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SoundHound could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SoundHound by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SoundHound Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SoundHound stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SoundHound shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SoundHound stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SoundHound AI entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SoundHound Risk Indicators

The analysis of SoundHound's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SoundHound's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting soundhound stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SoundHound

The number of cover stories for SoundHound depends on current market conditions and SoundHound's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SoundHound is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SoundHound's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SoundHound Short Properties

SoundHound's future price predictability will typically decrease when SoundHound's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SoundHound AI often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SoundHound's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SoundHound's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding338.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments198.2 M

Additional Tools for SoundHound Stock Analysis

When running SoundHound's price analysis, check to measure SoundHound's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SoundHound is operating at the current time. Most of SoundHound's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SoundHound's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SoundHound's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SoundHound to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.