Virgin Galactic Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SPCE Stock | MXN 54.72 0.81 1.50% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Virgin Galactic Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 59.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.73. Virgin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Virgin Galactic's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Virgin Galactic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virgin Galactic Holdings from the perspective of Virgin Galactic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Virgin Galactic Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 59.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.73. Virgin Galactic after-hype prediction price | MXN 53.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Virgin Galactic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Virgin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virgin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virgin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Virgin Galactic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Virgin Galactic Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 59.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.26, mean absolute percentage error of 21.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virgin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virgin Galactic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Virgin Galactic Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Virgin Galactic | Virgin Galactic Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Virgin Galactic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Virgin Galactic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Virgin Galactic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.88 and 64.62, respectively. We have considered Virgin Galactic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virgin Galactic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virgin Galactic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1607 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2579 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0497 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 198.7331 |
Predictive Modules for Virgin Galactic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virgin Galactic Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Virgin Galactic
For every potential investor in Virgin, whether a beginner or expert, Virgin Galactic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virgin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virgin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virgin Galactic's price trends.Virgin Galactic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Virgin Galactic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Virgin Galactic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virgin Galactic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Virgin Galactic Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Virgin Galactic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Virgin Galactic's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Virgin Galactic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Virgin Galactic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Virgin Galactic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Virgin Galactic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Virgin Galactic Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Virgin Galactic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Virgin Galactic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Virgin Galactic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virgin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.9 | |||
| Variance | 23.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Virgin Stock Analysis
When running Virgin Galactic's price analysis, check to measure Virgin Galactic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virgin Galactic is operating at the current time. Most of Virgin Galactic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virgin Galactic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virgin Galactic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virgin Galactic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.