Spruce Power Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SPRU Stock | 5.06 0.14 2.69% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Spruce Power Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 5.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.01. Spruce Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Spruce Power's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Year (0.77) | Wall Street Target Price 6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.437 |
Using Spruce Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spruce Power Holding from the perspective of Spruce Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Spruce Power using Spruce Power's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Spruce using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Spruce Power's stock price.
Spruce Power Implied Volatility | 2.68 |
Spruce Power's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Spruce Power Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Spruce Power's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Spruce Power stock will not fluctuate a lot when Spruce Power's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Spruce Power Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 5.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.01. Spruce Power after-hype prediction price | USD 5.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spruce Power to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Spruce Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Spruce Power's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Spruce Power's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Spruce Power stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Spruce Power's open interest, investors have to compare it to Spruce Power's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Spruce Power is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Spruce. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Spruce Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spruce price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spruce using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spruce charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Spruce Power's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-03-31 | Previous Quarter 53.5 M | Current Value 98.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 137.8 M |
Spruce Power Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Spruce Power Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 5.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spruce Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spruce Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Spruce Power Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Spruce Power | Spruce Power Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Spruce Power Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Spruce Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spruce Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 14.58, respectively. We have considered Spruce Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spruce Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spruce Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.294 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2788 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0749 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.009 |
Predictive Modules for Spruce Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spruce Power Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Spruce Power
For every potential investor in Spruce, whether a beginner or expert, Spruce Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spruce Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spruce. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spruce Power's price trends.Spruce Power Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spruce Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spruce Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spruce Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Spruce Power Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Spruce Power's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Spruce Power's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Spruce Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spruce Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spruce Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spruce Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Spruce Power Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Spruce Power Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spruce Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spruce Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spruce stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.35 | |||
| Variance | 87.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 47.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 31.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Spruce Stock Analysis
When running Spruce Power's price analysis, check to measure Spruce Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spruce Power is operating at the current time. Most of Spruce Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spruce Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spruce Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spruce Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.