Sprout Social Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SPT Stock | USD 8.70 0.35 3.87% |
Sprout Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Sprout Social's share price is approaching 38. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sprout Social, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1846 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7826 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8963 | Wall Street Target Price 15.6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.1658 |
Using Sprout Social hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprout Social from the perspective of Sprout Social response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sprout Social using Sprout Social's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sprout using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sprout Social's stock price.
Sprout Social Short Interest
An investor who is long Sprout Social may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sprout Social and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sprout Social with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.2695 | Short Percent 0.1038 | Short Ratio 4.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.7 M | 50 Day MA 10.3652 |
Sprout Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sprout Social on the next trading day is expected to be 10.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.53.Sprout Social Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sprout Social's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sprout. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sprout can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sprout Social. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sprout Social's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sprout Social.
Sprout Social Implied Volatility | 1.01 |
Sprout Social's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sprout Social stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sprout Social's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sprout Social stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sprout Social's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sprout Social on the next trading day is expected to be 10.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.53. Sprout Social after-hype prediction price | USD 8.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprout Social to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sprout contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sprout Social will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0631% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sprout Social trading at USD 8.7, that is roughly USD 0.005492 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sprout Social's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sprout Social options at the current volatility level of 1.01%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sprout Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sprout Social's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sprout Social's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sprout Social stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sprout Social's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sprout Social's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sprout Social is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sprout. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sprout Social Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sprout price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprout using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprout charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sprout Social Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sprout Social on the next trading day is expected to be 10.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sprout Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sprout Social's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sprout Social Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sprout Social | Sprout Social Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sprout Social Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sprout Social's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sprout Social's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.76 and 13.39, respectively. We have considered Sprout Social's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sprout Social stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sprout Social stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5989 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0585 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.5337 |
Predictive Modules for Sprout Social
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprout Social. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sprout Social After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sprout Social at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sprout Social or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sprout Social, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sprout Social Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sprout Social's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sprout Social's historical news coverage. Sprout Social's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.34 and 11.96, respectively. We have considered Sprout Social's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sprout Social is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprout Social is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sprout Social Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sprout Social is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sprout Social backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sprout Social, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 3.31 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 4 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.70 | 8.65 | 0.57 |
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Sprout Social Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Sprout Social is traded for 8.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Sprout is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Sprout Social is about 724.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.81. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Sprout Social was at this time reported as 3.28. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.11. Sprout Social recorded a loss per share of 0.81. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprout Social to cross-verify your projections.Sprout Social Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sprout Social's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sprout Social's future price movements. Getting to know how Sprout Social's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sprout Social may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DOMO | Domo Inc | (0.39) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 5.02 | (8.19) | 28.62 | |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc | (0.21) | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.85 | (5.00) | 24.81 | |
| WEAV | Weave Communications | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.59 | (5.26) | 20.60 | |
| BLZE | Backblaze | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.85 | (6.25) | 36.91 | |
| APPS | Digital Turbine | 0.04 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.03 | (6.46) | 37.27 | |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corp | 4.29 | 10 per month | 3.25 | 0.19 | 7.60 | (4.37) | 21.24 | |
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | 0.71 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.88 | (9.81) | 24.25 | |
| POET | POET Technologies | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.24 | (9.96) | 45.50 | |
| NBP | NovaBridge Biosciences | 0.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.25 | (7.14) | 22.59 | |
| PSFE | Paysafe | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.29 | (5.16) | 31.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sprout Social
For every potential investor in Sprout, whether a beginner or expert, Sprout Social's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sprout Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sprout. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sprout Social's price trends.Sprout Social Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sprout Social stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sprout Social could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sprout Social by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sprout Social Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sprout Social stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sprout Social shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sprout Social stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sprout Social entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sprout Social Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sprout Social's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sprout Social's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprout stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Variance | 10.75 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sprout Social
The number of cover stories for Sprout Social depends on current market conditions and Sprout Social's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sprout Social is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sprout Social's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sprout Social Short Properties
Sprout Social's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sprout Social's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sprout Social often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sprout Social's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprout Social's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.2 M |
Additional Tools for Sprout Stock Analysis
When running Sprout Social's price analysis, check to measure Sprout Social's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sprout Social is operating at the current time. Most of Sprout Social's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sprout Social's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sprout Social's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sprout Social to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.