Complete Solaria Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SPWR Stock | USD 1.80 0.05 2.70% |
Complete Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Complete Solaria's share price is at 52. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Complete Solaria, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Complete Solaria hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Complete Solaria from the perspective of Complete Solaria response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Complete Solaria on the next trading day is expected to be 1.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.46. Complete Solaria after-hype prediction price | USD 1.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Complete Solaria to cross-verify your projections. Complete Solaria Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Complete price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Complete using various technical indicators. When you analyze Complete charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Complete Solaria Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Complete Solaria on the next trading day is expected to be 1.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Complete Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Complete Solaria's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Complete Solaria Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Complete Solaria | Complete Solaria Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Complete Solaria Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Complete Solaria's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Complete Solaria's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.82, respectively. We have considered Complete Solaria's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Complete Solaria stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Complete Solaria stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.01 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0586 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0347 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.4575 |
Predictive Modules for Complete Solaria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Complete Solaria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Complete Solaria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Complete Solaria After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Complete Solaria at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Complete Solaria or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Complete Solaria, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Complete Solaria Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Complete Solaria's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Complete Solaria's historical news coverage. Complete Solaria's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 5.83, respectively. We have considered Complete Solaria's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Complete Solaria is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Complete Solaria is based on 3 months time horizon.
Complete Solaria Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Complete Solaria is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Complete Solaria backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Complete Solaria, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 4.03 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
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Complete Solaria Hype Timeline
Complete Solaria is at this time traded for 1.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Complete is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Complete Solaria is about 8635.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.81. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.02. Complete Solaria recorded a loss per share of 1.2. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1527:1000 split on the 27th of August 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Complete Solaria to cross-verify your projections.Complete Solaria Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Complete Solaria's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Complete Solaria's future price movements. Getting to know how Complete Solaria's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Complete Solaria may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTCI | FTC Solar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.82 | 0.08 | 9.96 | (7.79) | 58.89 | |
| TYGO | Tigo Energy | 0.21 | 2 per month | 4.16 | 0.11 | 14.19 | (8.04) | 42.41 | |
| ZEO | Zeo Energy Corp | 0.21 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.56 | (8.41) | 24.78 | |
| AMTX | Aemetis | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 10.34 | (6.75) | 27.65 | |
| GTE | Gran Tierra Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.09 | 0.21 | 6.71 | (3.59) | 23.83 | |
| ANNA | AleAnna Class A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.00 | (4.88) | 20.01 | |
| DLNG | Dynagas LNG Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.04 | 2.56 | (2.98) | 9.76 | |
| BOOM | Dmc Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.10 | 0.05 | 6.18 | (3.91) | 18.62 | |
| SOL | Emeren Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.05 | 2.86 | (1.60) | 5.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Complete Solaria
For every potential investor in Complete, whether a beginner or expert, Complete Solaria's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Complete Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Complete. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Complete Solaria's price trends.Complete Solaria Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Complete Solaria stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Complete Solaria could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Complete Solaria by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Complete Solaria Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Complete Solaria stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Complete Solaria shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Complete Solaria stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Complete Solaria entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Complete Solaria Risk Indicators
The analysis of Complete Solaria's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Complete Solaria's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting complete stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.03 | |||
| Variance | 16.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Complete Solaria
The number of cover stories for Complete Solaria depends on current market conditions and Complete Solaria's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Complete Solaria is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Complete Solaria's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complete Solaria Short Properties
Complete Solaria's future price predictability will typically decrease when Complete Solaria's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Complete Solaria often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Complete Solaria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Complete Solaria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 485.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.4 M |
Additional Tools for Complete Stock Analysis
When running Complete Solaria's price analysis, check to measure Complete Solaria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Complete Solaria is operating at the current time. Most of Complete Solaria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Complete Solaria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Complete Solaria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Complete Solaria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.