Ftc Solar Stock Price Prediction
| FTCI Stock | USD 3.38 0.17 5.30% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.06) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.57) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.76) | Wall Street Target Price 7.6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.08) |
Using FTC Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FTC Solar from the perspective of FTC Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FTC Solar using FTC Solar's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FTC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FTC Solar's stock price.
FTC Solar Implied Volatility | 1.64 |
FTC Solar's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FTC Solar stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FTC Solar's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FTC Solar stock will not fluctuate a lot when FTC Solar's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FTC Solar to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FTC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FTC Solar after-hype prediction price | USD 3.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FTC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FTC Solar will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With FTC Solar trading at USD 3.38, that is roughly USD 0.003464 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FTC Solar's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FTC Solar options at the current volatility level of 1.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
FTC |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FTC Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FTC Solar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FTC Solar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FTC Solar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FTC Solar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FTC Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FTC Solar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FTC Solar's historical news coverage. FTC Solar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 10.58, respectively. We have considered FTC Solar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FTC Solar is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FTC Solar is based on 3 months time horizon.
FTC Solar Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FTC Solar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FTC Solar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FTC Solar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 7.20 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.38 | 3.38 | 0.00 |
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FTC Solar Hype Timeline
FTC Solar is currently traded for 3.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. FTC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on FTC Solar is about 2857.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.37. About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FTC Solar recorded a loss per share of 3.8. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 2nd of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out FTC Solar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FTC Solar Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FTC Solar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FTC Solar's future price movements. Getting to know how FTC Solar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FTC Solar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPWR | SunPower | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NOVA | Sunnova Energy International | (0.26) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.13 | (12.65) | 36.77 | |
| JKS | JinkoSolar Holding | (0.35) | 9 per month | 3.50 | 0.02 | 6.89 | (5.69) | 21.08 | |
| NXT | Nextracker Class A | (0.91) | 7 per month | 2.63 | 0.11 | 7.11 | (4.79) | 17.41 | |
| CSIQ | Canadian Solar | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.88 | (5.05) | 17.86 | |
| RUN | Sunrun Inc | (1.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.53 | (8.24) | 19.53 | |
| MAXN | Maxeon Solar Technologies | (0.20) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 14.88 | (10.22) | 47.30 | |
| SEDG | SolarEdge Technologies | (0.36) | 12 per month | 5.72 | 0.07 | 11.74 | (10.46) | 31.42 | |
| FSLR | First Solar | 0.67 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.70 | (4.58) | 13.47 | |
| SHLS | Shoals Technologies Group | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.40 | (7.14) | 38.06 |
FTC Solar Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FTC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FTC using various technical indicators. When you analyze FTC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FTC Solar Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FTC Solar stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FTC Solar, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FTC Solar based on analysis of FTC Solar hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FTC Solar's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FTC Solar's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 9.51 | 14.88 | 13.39 | 7.93 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 36.3 | 12.01 | 13.81 | 20.28 |
Story Coverage note for FTC Solar
The number of cover stories for FTC Solar depends on current market conditions and FTC Solar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FTC Solar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FTC Solar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FTC Solar Short Properties
FTC Solar's future price predictability will typically decrease when FTC Solar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FTC Solar often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FTC Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FTC Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.2 M |
Complementary Tools for FTC Stock analysis
When running FTC Solar's price analysis, check to measure FTC Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FTC Solar is operating at the current time. Most of FTC Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FTC Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FTC Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FTC Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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