SPX Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SPXC Stock | USD 211.84 0.50 0.24% |
SPX Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SPX Corp stock prices and determine the direction of SPX Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SPX Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of SPX Corp's share price is approaching 48. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SPX Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.203 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8514 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.744 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.6079 | Wall Street Target Price 236 |
Using SPX Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SPX Corp from the perspective of SPX Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SPX Corp using SPX Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SPX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SPX Corp's stock price.
SPX Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in SPX Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SPX. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SPX Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 183.3781 | Short Percent 0.0254 | Short Ratio 1.2 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 210.368 |
SPX Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SPX Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 209.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 315.94.SPX Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SPX Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SPX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SPX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SPX Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SPX Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SPX Corp.
SPX Corp Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
SPX Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SPX Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SPX Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SPX Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when SPX Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SPX Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 209.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 315.94. SPX Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 211.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SPX Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SPX contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SPX Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With SPX Corp trading at USD 211.84, that is roughly USD 0.0768 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SPX Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SPX Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 SPX Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SPX Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SPX Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SPX Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SPX Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to SPX Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SPX Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SPX. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SPX Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SPX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SPX using various technical indicators. When you analyze SPX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SPX Corp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of SPX Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 209.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.10, mean absolute percentage error of 36.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 315.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SPX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SPX Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SPX Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SPX Corp | SPX Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SPX Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SPX Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SPX Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 207.66 and 211.45, respectively. We have considered SPX Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SPX Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SPX Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.5402 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.0958 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.024 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 315.9378 |
Predictive Modules for SPX Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPX Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SPX Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SPX Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SPX Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SPX Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SPX Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SPX Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SPX Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SPX Corp's historical news coverage. SPX Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 209.90 and 213.78, respectively. We have considered SPX Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SPX Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SPX Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
SPX Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SPX Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SPX Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SPX Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
211.84 | 211.84 | 0.00 |
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SPX Corp Hype Timeline
SPX Corp is at this time traded for 211.84. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SPX is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on SPX Corp is about 1125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 211.84. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.56. SPX Corp last dividend was issued on the 12th of June 2015. The entity had 3971:1000 split on the 28th of September 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SPX Corp to cross-verify your projections.SPX Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SPX Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SPX Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how SPX Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SPX Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DCI | Donaldson | (0.11) | 14 per month | 0.75 | 0.19 | 2.27 | (1.74) | 9.29 | |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings | (1.75) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.15 | (5.41) | 10.93 | |
| CR | Crane Company | 0.93 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.28 | (2.32) | 15.15 | |
| RRX | Regal Beloit | 2.58 | 8 per month | 2.12 | 0.05 | 4.12 | (3.75) | 11.58 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.93 | 0.15 | 2.55 | (2.33) | 34.18 | |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies | (0.11) | 12 per month | 1.38 | 0.03 | 2.75 | (1.61) | 9.37 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | 0.86 | 10 per month | 1.24 | (0.02) | 2.24 | (2.21) | 7.54 | |
| PSN | Parsons Corp | (0.39) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.68 | (3.89) | 25.78 | |
| CNM | Core Main | (0.11) | 16 per month | 1.89 | (0.01) | 3.47 | (2.94) | 11.37 | |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies | (0.11) | 3 per month | 1.72 | (0.03) | 2.64 | (2.10) | 9.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for SPX Corp
For every potential investor in SPX, whether a beginner or expert, SPX Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SPX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SPX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SPX Corp's price trends.SPX Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SPX Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SPX Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SPX Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SPX Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SPX Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SPX Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SPX Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SPX Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SPX Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of SPX Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SPX Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Variance | 5.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SPX Corp
The number of cover stories for SPX Corp depends on current market conditions and SPX Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SPX Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SPX Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SPX Corp Short Properties
SPX Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when SPX Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SPX Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SPX Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SPX Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 156.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SPX Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade SPX Stock refer to our How to Trade SPX Stock guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could SPX diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SPX Corp. If investors know SPX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every SPX Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.203 | Earnings Share 4.69 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.226 | Return On Assets |
The market value of SPX Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPX Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPX Corp's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because SPX Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPX Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPX Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPX Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, SPX Corp's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.