Presidio Property Stock Forward View
| SQFT Stock | USD 2.39 0.42 14.95% |
Presidio Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Presidio Property's share price is approaching 30. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Presidio Property, making its price go up or down. Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Presidio Property hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Presidio Property Trust from the perspective of Presidio Property response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Presidio Property Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.10. Presidio Property after-hype prediction price | USD 2.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Presidio Property to cross-verify your projections. Presidio Property Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Presidio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Presidio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Presidio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Presidio Property Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Presidio Property Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Presidio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Presidio Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Presidio Property Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Presidio Property | Presidio Property Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Presidio Property Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Presidio Property's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Presidio Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.45, respectively. We have considered Presidio Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Presidio Property stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Presidio Property stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1407 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1951 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0519 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.0956 |
Predictive Modules for Presidio Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Presidio Property Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Presidio Property After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Presidio Property at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Presidio Property or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Presidio Property, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Presidio Property Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Presidio Property's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Presidio Property's historical news coverage. Presidio Property's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 8.88, respectively. We have considered Presidio Property's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Presidio Property is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Presidio Property Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Presidio Property Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Presidio Property is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Presidio Property backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Presidio Property, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.32 | 6.55 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.39 | 2.39 | 0.00 |
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Presidio Property Hype Timeline
Presidio Property Trust is at this time traded for 2.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Presidio is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Presidio Property is about 49125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.41. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.18. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Presidio Property Trust recorded a loss per share of 7.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2023. The firm had 1:10 split on the 19th of May 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Presidio Property to cross-verify your projections.Presidio Property Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Presidio Property's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Presidio Property's future price movements. Getting to know how Presidio Property's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Presidio Property may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MKZR | MacKenzie Realty Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.45 | 0 | 10.06 | (9.02) | 40.08 | |
| GIPR | Generationome Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 12.31 | (9.52) | 32.21 | |
| ALBT | Avalon GloboCare Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 12.31 | (14.12) | 48.54 | |
| LRHC | La Rosa Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 9.51 | (20.00) | 47.79 | |
| CMCT | Creative Media Community | 0.03 | 3 per month | 14.01 | 0.05 | 35.11 | (28.10) | 134.81 | |
| PW | Power REIT | 0.03 | 9 per month | 5.29 | 0.07 | 13.48 | (9.33) | 33.42 | |
| WHLR | Wheeler Real Estate | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.33 | (20.89) | 125.65 | |
| GBR | New Concept Energy | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.33 | (4.76) | 16.55 | |
| UOKA | MDJM | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.50 | (9.21) | 64.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for Presidio Property
For every potential investor in Presidio, whether a beginner or expert, Presidio Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Presidio Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Presidio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Presidio Property's price trends.Presidio Property Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Presidio Property stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Presidio Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Presidio Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Presidio Property Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Presidio Property stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Presidio Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Presidio Property stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Presidio Property Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Presidio Property Risk Indicators
The analysis of Presidio Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Presidio Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting presidio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.49 | |||
| Variance | 42.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Presidio Property
The number of cover stories for Presidio Property depends on current market conditions and Presidio Property's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Presidio Property is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Presidio Property's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Presidio Property Short Properties
Presidio Property's future price predictability will typically decrease when Presidio Property's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Presidio Property Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Presidio Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Presidio Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 M |
Additional Tools for Presidio Stock Analysis
When running Presidio Property's price analysis, check to measure Presidio Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Presidio Property is operating at the current time. Most of Presidio Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Presidio Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Presidio Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Presidio Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.