Sportradar Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SRAD Stock  USD 23.32  0.45  1.89%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sportradar Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 23.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.84. Sportradar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sportradar Group stock prices and determine the direction of Sportradar Group AG's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sportradar Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The relative strength indicator of Sportradar Group's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 92

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sportradar Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sportradar Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sportradar Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sportradar Group AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sportradar Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0881
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.4384
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.4849
Wall Street Target Price
33.2747
Using Sportradar Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sportradar Group AG from the perspective of Sportradar Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sportradar Group using Sportradar Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sportradar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sportradar Group's stock price.

Sportradar Group Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Sportradar Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sportradar. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sportradar Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
25.6708
Short Percent
0.0998
Short Ratio
5.6
Shares Short Prior Month
9.4 M
50 Day MA
23.4277

Sportradar Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sportradar Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sportradar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sportradar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sportradar Group AG. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sportradar Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sportradar Group.

Sportradar Group Implied Volatility

    
  0.73  
Sportradar Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sportradar Group AG stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sportradar Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sportradar Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sportradar Group's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sportradar Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 23.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.84.

Sportradar Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sportradar Group to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Sportradar Group's Receivables Turnover is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. . As of January 4, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 333.3 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 11.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Sportradar Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sportradar Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sportradar Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sportradar Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sportradar Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sportradar Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sportradar Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sportradar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Sportradar Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sportradar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sportradar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sportradar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Sportradar Group Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Sportradar Group's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-03-31
Previous Quarter
311.9 M
Current Value
360.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
205.4 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Sportradar Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sportradar Group AG value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sportradar Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sportradar Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 23.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sportradar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sportradar Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sportradar Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sportradar GroupSportradar Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sportradar Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sportradar Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sportradar Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.04 and 25.41, respectively. We have considered Sportradar Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.32
23.23
Expected Value
25.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sportradar Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sportradar Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0291
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4565
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0189
SAESum of the absolute errors27.844
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sportradar Group AG. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sportradar Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sportradar Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sportradar Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.1723.3525.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9928.5530.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.2922.7224.15
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.2833.2736.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sportradar Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sportradar Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sportradar Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sportradar Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Sportradar Group

For every potential investor in Sportradar, whether a beginner or expert, Sportradar Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sportradar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sportradar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sportradar Group's price trends.

Sportradar Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sportradar Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sportradar Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sportradar Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sportradar Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sportradar Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sportradar Group's current price.

Sportradar Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sportradar Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sportradar Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sportradar Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sportradar Group AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sportradar Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sportradar Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sportradar Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sportradar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Sportradar Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sportradar Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sportradar Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sportradar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sportradar Group to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sportradar Group. If investors know Sportradar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sportradar Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
Earnings Share
0.34
Revenue Per Share
4.085
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.145
Return On Assets
0.0379
The market value of Sportradar Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sportradar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sportradar Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sportradar Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sportradar Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sportradar Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sportradar Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sportradar Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sportradar Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.