Sportradar Group Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| SRAD Stock | USD 17.87 0.27 1.49% |
Sportradar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sportradar Group stock prices and determine the direction of Sportradar Group AG's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sportradar Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Sportradar Group's share price is below 30 at the present time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sportradar Group AG, making its price go up or down. Momentum 25
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0881 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4384 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4849 | Wall Street Target Price 32.7104 |
Using Sportradar Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sportradar Group AG from the perspective of Sportradar Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sportradar Group using Sportradar Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sportradar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sportradar Group's stock price.
Sportradar Group Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Sportradar Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sportradar. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sportradar Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 25.5353 | Short Percent 0.1046 | Short Ratio 7.62 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.3 M | 50 Day MA 21.9124 |
Sportradar Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sportradar Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 18.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.71.Sportradar Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sportradar Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sportradar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sportradar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sportradar Group AG. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sportradar Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sportradar Group.
Sportradar Group Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Sportradar Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sportradar Group AG stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sportradar Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sportradar Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sportradar Group's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sportradar Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 18.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.71. Sportradar Group after-hype prediction price | USD 17.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sportradar | Build AI portfolio with Sportradar Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sportradar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sportradar Group AG will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sportradar Group trading at USD 17.87, that is roughly USD 0.007148 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sportradar Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sportradar Group AG options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sportradar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sportradar Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sportradar Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sportradar Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sportradar Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sportradar Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sportradar Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sportradar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sportradar Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sportradar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sportradar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sportradar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sportradar Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sportradar Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 18.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sportradar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sportradar Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sportradar Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sportradar Group | Sportradar Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sportradar Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sportradar Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sportradar Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.92 and 20.09, respectively. We have considered Sportradar Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sportradar Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sportradar Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4284 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1969 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4188 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0191 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.71 |
Predictive Modules for Sportradar Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sportradar Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sportradar Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sportradar Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sportradar Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sportradar Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sportradar Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sportradar Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sportradar Group's historical news coverage. Sportradar Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.55 and 19.71, respectively. We have considered Sportradar Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sportradar Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sportradar Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sportradar Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sportradar Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sportradar Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sportradar Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 2.08 | 0.24 | 0.10 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.87 | 17.63 | 1.34 |
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Sportradar Group Hype Timeline
Sportradar Group is at this time traded for 17.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Sportradar is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.34%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.6%. The volatility of related hype on Sportradar Group is about 1202.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.97. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Sportradar Group was at this time reported as 3.88. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.47. Sportradar Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sportradar Group to cross-verify your projections.Sportradar Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sportradar Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sportradar Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Sportradar Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sportradar Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LYFT | LYFT Inc | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.73 | (6.70) | 14.46 | |
| APPF | Appfolio | 5.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.09 | (3.72) | 12.22 | |
| DSGX | Descartes Systems Group | (0.10) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.02 | (3.50) | 18.10 | |
| PCTY | Paylocity Holdng | (2.35) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.51 | (3.07) | 9.24 | |
| CVLT | CommVault Systems | (1.52) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.49 | (3.87) | 18.78 | |
| MTCH | Match Group | (0.27) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.56 | (1.84) | 7.35 | |
| NICE | Nice Ltd ADR | 1.73 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.22 | (3.81) | 18.80 | |
| LIF | Life360 Common Stock | 1.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.59 | (5.16) | 25.86 | |
| ESTC | Elastic NV | 0.56 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.82 | (3.82) | 18.64 | |
| TTAN | ServiceTitan Class A | (2.47) | 12 per month | 2.69 | (0.03) | 3.83 | (4.54) | 17.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sportradar Group
For every potential investor in Sportradar, whether a beginner or expert, Sportradar Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sportradar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sportradar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sportradar Group's price trends.Sportradar Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sportradar Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sportradar Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sportradar Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sportradar Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sportradar Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sportradar Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sportradar Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sportradar Group AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.87 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.87 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.13) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.27) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 25.4 |
Sportradar Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sportradar Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sportradar Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sportradar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sportradar Group
The number of cover stories for Sportradar Group depends on current market conditions and Sportradar Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sportradar Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sportradar Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sportradar Group Short Properties
Sportradar Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sportradar Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sportradar Group AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sportradar Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sportradar Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 317.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 348.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sportradar Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sportradar Group. If investors know Sportradar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sportradar Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Earnings Share 0.34 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.145 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Sportradar Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sportradar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sportradar Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sportradar Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sportradar Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sportradar Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sportradar Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sportradar Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sportradar Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.