Sensus Healthcare Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

SRTS Stock  USD 4.97  0.01  0.20%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sensus Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 4.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.34. Sensus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Sensus Healthcare's stock price is slightly above 61. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sensus, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sensus Healthcare's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sensus Healthcare and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sensus Healthcare's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sensus Healthcare, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sensus Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sensus Healthcare from the perspective of Sensus Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sensus Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 4.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.34.

Sensus Healthcare after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sensus Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sensus Stock please use our How to Invest in Sensus Healthcare guide.

Sensus Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sensus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sensus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sensus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Sensus Healthcare price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Sensus Healthcare Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sensus Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 4.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sensus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sensus Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sensus Healthcare Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sensus HealthcareSensus Healthcare Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sensus Healthcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sensus Healthcare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sensus Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 9.63, respectively. We have considered Sensus Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.97
4.67
Expected Value
9.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sensus Healthcare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sensus Healthcare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1692
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3171
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0783
SAESum of the absolute errors19.3432
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Sensus Healthcare historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Sensus Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sensus Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sensus Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.014.979.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.905.8610.82
Details

Sensus Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sensus Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sensus Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sensus Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sensus Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sensus Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sensus Healthcare's historical news coverage. Sensus Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 9.93, respectively. We have considered Sensus Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.97
4.97
After-hype Price
9.93
Upside
Sensus Healthcare is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sensus Healthcare is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sensus Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sensus Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sensus Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sensus Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.77 
4.96
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.97
4.97
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sensus Healthcare Hype Timeline

Sensus Healthcare is at this time traded for 4.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Sensus is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.77%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sensus Healthcare is about 11022.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.00. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.59. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sensus Healthcare recorded a loss per share of 0.18. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sensus Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sensus Stock please use our How to Invest in Sensus Healthcare guide.

Sensus Healthcare Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sensus Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sensus Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Sensus Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sensus Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TELATela Bio 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 5.38 (8.33) 22.82 
ICCMIcecure Medical(0.04)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.35 (5.63) 14.09 
MDAISpectral AI 0.35 3 per month 0.00 (0.13) 5.84 (6.98) 15.64 
CTSOCytosorbents Crp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 7.58 (7.41) 29.40 
BDMDBaird Medical Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 8.67 (7.69) 25.92 
PETSPetMed Express 0.00 0 per month 6.02  0.07  8.59 (5.13) 73.96 
MDCXMedicus Pharma Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23) 6.77 (8.93) 18.68 
KPTIKaryopharm Therapeutics 0.14 16 per month 4.27  0.02  8.02 (6.78) 18.05 
IPSCCentury Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 4.70  0.27  13.95 (8.26) 55.97 
SNTISenti Biosciences 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 7.73 (9.50) 53.50 

Other Forecasting Options for Sensus Healthcare

For every potential investor in Sensus, whether a beginner or expert, Sensus Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sensus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sensus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sensus Healthcare's price trends.

Sensus Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sensus Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sensus Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sensus Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sensus Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sensus Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sensus Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sensus Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sensus Healthcare entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sensus Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sensus Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sensus Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sensus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sensus Healthcare

The number of cover stories for Sensus Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Sensus Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sensus Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sensus Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sensus Healthcare Short Properties

Sensus Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sensus Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sensus Healthcare often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sensus Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sensus Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.1 M

Additional Tools for Sensus Stock Analysis

When running Sensus Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Sensus Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sensus Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Sensus Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sensus Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sensus Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sensus Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.