Sirius XM Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SRXM34 Stock  BRL 17.75  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sirius XM Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 17.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Sirius Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sirius XM stock prices and determine the direction of Sirius XM Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sirius XM's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Sirius XM polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Sirius XM Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Sirius XM Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sirius XM Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 17.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sirius Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sirius XM's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sirius XM Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sirius XM Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sirius XM's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sirius XM's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.75 and 17.75, respectively. We have considered Sirius XM's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.75
17.75
Expected Value
17.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sirius XM stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sirius XM stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Sirius XM historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Sirius XM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sirius XM Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7517.7517.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7517.7517.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.7517.7517.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sirius XM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sirius XM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sirius XM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sirius XM Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Sirius XM

For every potential investor in Sirius, whether a beginner or expert, Sirius XM's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sirius Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sirius. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sirius XM's price trends.

Sirius XM Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sirius XM stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sirius XM could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sirius XM by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sirius XM Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sirius XM's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sirius XM's current price.

Sirius XM Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sirius XM stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sirius XM shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sirius XM stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sirius XM Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Sirius Stock

Sirius XM financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sirius Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sirius with respect to the benefits of owning Sirius XM security.