SRXM34 Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SRXM34 Stock  BRL 17.75  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SRXM34 on the next trading day is expected to be 17.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. SRXM34 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SRXM34 stock prices and determine the direction of SRXM34's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SRXM34's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for SRXM34 is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SRXM34 value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SRXM34 Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SRXM34 on the next trading day is expected to be 17.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SRXM34 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SRXM34's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SRXM34 Stock Forecast Pattern

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SRXM34 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SRXM34's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SRXM34's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.75 and 17.75, respectively. We have considered SRXM34's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.75
17.75
Expected Value
17.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SRXM34 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SRXM34 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SRXM34. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SRXM34. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SRXM34

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SRXM34. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7517.7517.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7517.7517.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SRXM34. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SRXM34's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SRXM34's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SRXM34.

Other Forecasting Options for SRXM34

For every potential investor in SRXM34, whether a beginner or expert, SRXM34's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SRXM34 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SRXM34. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SRXM34's price trends.

SRXM34 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SRXM34 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SRXM34 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SRXM34 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SRXM34 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SRXM34's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SRXM34's current price.

SRXM34 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SRXM34 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SRXM34 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SRXM34 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SRXM34 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in SRXM34 Stock

SRXM34 financial ratios help investors to determine whether SRXM34 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SRXM34 with respect to the benefits of owning SRXM34 security.