STRATA Skin Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SSKN Stock | USD 1.27 0.03 2.31% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of STRATA Skin Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.34. STRATA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although STRATA Skin's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of STRATA Skin's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of STRATA Skin fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of STRATA Skin's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.09) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.80) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.29) | Wall Street Target Price 7.4 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.24) |
Using STRATA Skin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of STRATA Skin Sciences from the perspective of STRATA Skin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of STRATA Skin Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.34. STRATA Skin after-hype prediction price | USD 1.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STRATA Skin to cross-verify your projections. STRATA Skin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine STRATA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for STRATA using various technical indicators. When you analyze STRATA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
STRATA Skin Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the STRATA Skin's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2004-12-31 | Previous Quarter 6 M | Current Value 7.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 8 M |
STRATA Skin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of STRATA Skin Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STRATA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that STRATA Skin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
STRATA Skin Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest STRATA Skin | STRATA Skin Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
STRATA Skin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting STRATA Skin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. STRATA Skin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.09, respectively. We have considered STRATA Skin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of STRATA Skin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent STRATA Skin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8529 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0548 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0392 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.3445 |
Predictive Modules for STRATA Skin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STRATA Skin Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.STRATA Skin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of STRATA Skin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in STRATA Skin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of STRATA Skin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
STRATA Skin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting STRATA Skin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on STRATA Skin's historical news coverage. STRATA Skin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 6.02, respectively. We have considered STRATA Skin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
STRATA Skin is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of STRATA Skin Sciences is based on 3 months time horizon.
STRATA Skin Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as STRATA Skin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading STRATA Skin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with STRATA Skin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 4.80 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.27 | 1.22 | 3.94 |
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STRATA Skin Hype Timeline
STRATA Skin Sciences is at this time traded for 1.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. STRATA is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.94%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on STRATA Skin is about 6000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.30. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.63. STRATA Skin Sciences last dividend was issued on the 7th of April 2017. The entity had 1:10 split on the 7th of June 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STRATA Skin to cross-verify your projections.STRATA Skin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to STRATA Skin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict STRATA Skin's future price movements. Getting to know how STRATA Skin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how STRATA Skin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HSCS | Heart Test Laboratories | (0.01) | 6 per month | 4.87 | 0.01 | 11.07 | (6.48) | 26.18 | |
| PAVM | PAVmed Inc | 0.64 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 10.86 | (10.69) | 103.55 | |
| BMRA | Biomerica | 0.07 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.12 | (5.21) | 18.44 | |
| GBS | GBS Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NRSN | Neurosense Therapeutics | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.82 | (7.48) | 34.62 | |
| MHUA | Meihua International Medical | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 22.64 | (25.45) | 60.52 | |
| IINN | Inspira Technologies Oxy | (0.03) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 6.86 | (7.00) | 24.08 | |
| BCLI | Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.09 | (6.67) | 24.01 | |
| ADIL | Adial Pharmaceuticals | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.56 | (6.25) | 16.67 | |
| ADXN | Addex Therapeutics | 0.02 | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.92 | (7.28) | 26.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for STRATA Skin
For every potential investor in STRATA, whether a beginner or expert, STRATA Skin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. STRATA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in STRATA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying STRATA Skin's price trends.STRATA Skin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with STRATA Skin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of STRATA Skin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing STRATA Skin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
STRATA Skin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how STRATA Skin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading STRATA Skin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying STRATA Skin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify STRATA Skin Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
STRATA Skin Risk Indicators
The analysis of STRATA Skin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in STRATA Skin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting strata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.93 | |||
| Variance | 24.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for STRATA Skin
The number of cover stories for STRATA Skin depends on current market conditions and STRATA Skin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that STRATA Skin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about STRATA Skin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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STRATA Skin Short Properties
STRATA Skin's future price predictability will typically decrease when STRATA Skin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of STRATA Skin Sciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential STRATA Skin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STRATA Skin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STRATA Skin to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of STRATA Skin. If investors know STRATA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about STRATA Skin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.63) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of STRATA Skin Sciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of STRATA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of STRATA Skin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is STRATA Skin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because STRATA Skin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect STRATA Skin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between STRATA Skin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STRATA Skin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STRATA Skin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.