Shotspotter Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SSTI Stock | USD 7.15 0.09 1.27% |
Shotspotter Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shotspotter's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the relative strength indicator of Shotspotter's share price is approaching 39. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shotspotter, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.399 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.004 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.67) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.33) | Wall Street Target Price 15.5 |
Using Shotspotter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shotspotter from the perspective of Shotspotter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Shotspotter using Shotspotter's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Shotspotter using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Shotspotter's stock price.
Shotspotter Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Shotspotter's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shotspotter stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shotspotter's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shotspotter stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shotspotter's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shotspotter on the next trading day is expected to be 7.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.68. Shotspotter after-hype prediction price | USD 7.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Shotspotter | Build AI portfolio with Shotspotter Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Shotspotter contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Shotspotter will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Shotspotter trading at USD 7.15, that is roughly USD 0.004692 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Shotspotter's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Shotspotter options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Shotspotter Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Shotspotter's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Shotspotter's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Shotspotter stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Shotspotter's open interest, investors have to compare it to Shotspotter's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Shotspotter is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Shotspotter. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Shotspotter Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shotspotter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shotspotter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shotspotter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Shotspotter Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shotspotter on the next trading day is expected to be 7.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shotspotter Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shotspotter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Shotspotter Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Shotspotter | Shotspotter Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Shotspotter Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Shotspotter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shotspotter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.19 and 11.11, respectively. We have considered Shotspotter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shotspotter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shotspotter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9325 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0367 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.228 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0305 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.68 |
Predictive Modules for Shotspotter
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shotspotter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shotspotter's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Shotspotter After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shotspotter at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shotspotter or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shotspotter, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shotspotter Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shotspotter's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shotspotter's historical news coverage. Shotspotter's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.19 and 11.11, respectively. We have considered Shotspotter's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shotspotter is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shotspotter is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shotspotter Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shotspotter is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shotspotter backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shotspotter, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 3.96 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.15 | 7.15 | 0.00 |
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Shotspotter Hype Timeline
Shotspotter is at this time traded for 7.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Shotspotter is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shotspotter is about 16500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.14. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shotspotter has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.84. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shotspotter to cross-verify your projections.Shotspotter Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shotspotter's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shotspotter's future price movements. Getting to know how Shotspotter's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shotspotter may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NRDY | Nerdy Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.07 | 0.01 | 9.17 | (7.14) | 20.36 | |
| RDZN | Roadzen | 0.02 | 8 per month | 3.68 | 0.06 | 13.74 | (5.75) | 32.71 | |
| TROO | TROOPS Inc | (0.05) | 5 per month | 5.28 | 0.25 | 13.53 | (9.09) | 41.09 | |
| MAPS | WM Technology | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 6.17 | (5.88) | 25.13 | |
| TEAD | Teads BV | (0.05) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.94 | (9.76) | 54.35 | |
| ZENA | ZenaTech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 11.75 | (8.16) | 33.12 | |
| CTM | Castellum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.27 | (6.50) | 19.72 | |
| EXFY | Expensify | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.83 | (4.17) | 15.27 | |
| QUIK | QuickLogic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.72 | 0.01 | 7.54 | (4.98) | 16.66 | |
| WRAP | Wrap Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.89 | (8.94) | 43.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for Shotspotter
For every potential investor in Shotspotter, whether a beginner or expert, Shotspotter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shotspotter Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shotspotter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shotspotter's price trends.Shotspotter Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shotspotter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shotspotter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shotspotter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Shotspotter Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shotspotter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shotspotter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shotspotter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shotspotter entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Shotspotter Risk Indicators
The analysis of Shotspotter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shotspotter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shotspotter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.0 | |||
| Variance | 16.0 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Shotspotter
The number of cover stories for Shotspotter depends on current market conditions and Shotspotter's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shotspotter is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shotspotter's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Shotspotter Short Properties
Shotspotter's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shotspotter's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shotspotter often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shotspotter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shotspotter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shotspotter to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Shotspotter Stock please use our How to Invest in Shotspotter guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is there potential for Application Software market expansion? Will Shotspotter introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shotspotter. If investors know Shotspotter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Shotspotter listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.399 | Earnings Share (0.84) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Shotspotter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shotspotter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shotspotter's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shotspotter's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Shotspotter's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shotspotter's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shotspotter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shotspotter is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Shotspotter's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.