One Group Stock Forward View

STKS Stock  USD 2.11  0.05  2.31%   
One Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of One Group's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling One Group, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of One Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of One Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from One Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with One Group Hospitality, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting One Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.26
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.86)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.258
Wall Street Target Price
4.9833
Using One Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of One Group Hospitality from the perspective of One Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards One Group using One Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards One using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of One Group's stock price.

One Group Short Interest

An investor who is long One Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about One Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge One Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
2.828
Short Percent
0.0612
Short Ratio
25.54
Shares Short Prior Month
1.3 M
50 Day MA
2.0154

One Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of One Group Hospitality on the next trading day is expected to be 1.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.99.

One Group Hospitality Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to One Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in One. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding One can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around One Group Hospitality. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of One Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about One Group.

One Group Implied Volatility

    
  2.44  
One Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of One Group Hospitality stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if One Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that One Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when One Group's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of One Group Hospitality on the next trading day is expected to be 1.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.99.

One Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of One Group to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 One Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast One Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in One Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for One Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current One Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to One Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of One Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in One. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

One Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine One price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for One using various technical indicators. When you analyze One charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the One Group's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2007-06-30
Previous Quarter
4.7 M
Current Value
5.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
13.2 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for One Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of One Group Hospitality value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

One Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of One Group Hospitality on the next trading day is expected to be 1.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict One Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that One Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

One Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest One Group  One Group Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

One Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting One Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. One Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.81, respectively. We have considered One Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.11
1.70
Expected Value
5.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of One Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent One Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2832
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0654
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0315
SAESum of the absolute errors3.9907
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of One Group Hospitality. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict One Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for One Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as One Group Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.116.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.756.86
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.534.985.53
Details

One Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of One Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in One Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of One Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

One Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting One Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on One Group's historical news coverage. One Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 6.22, respectively. We have considered One Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.11
2.11
After-hype Price
6.22
Upside
One Group is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of One Group Hospitality is based on 3 months time horizon.

One Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as One Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading One Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with One Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
4.11
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.11
2.11
0.00 
20,550  
Notes

One Group Hype Timeline

One Group Hospitality is at this time traded for 2.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. One is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on One Group is about 17869.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.11. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.7. One Group Hospitality had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of One Group to cross-verify your projections.

One Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to One Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict One Group's future price movements. Getting to know how One Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how One Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RRGBRed Robin Gourmet(0.06)10 per month 0.00 (0.26) 4.75 (5.15) 11.57 
LCUTLifetime Brands 0.03 11 per month 0.00 (0.06) 5.50 (5.41) 16.49 
VRAVera Bradley(0.03)8 per month 5.56  0.02  10.47 (7.39) 35.49 
BIRDAllbirds(0.10)9 per month 0.00 (0.20) 7.04 (7.77) 33.77 
THCHTH International Limited(0.13)11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.81 (7.46) 18.19 
BDLFlanigans Enterprises(0.01)3 per month 3.38  0.01  7.37 (6.25) 18.83 
CHSNChanson International Holding 0.15 5 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.05 (5.80) 22.51 
HCHLHappy City Holdings 0.20 7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 4.82 (10.68) 61.56 
CVGICommercial Vehicle Group 0.00 10 per month 0.00 (0.03) 8.82 (5.39) 20.18 
RGSRegis Common(0.28)12 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.61 (4.20) 10.07 

Other Forecasting Options for One Group

For every potential investor in One, whether a beginner or expert, One Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. One Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in One. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying One Group's price trends.

One Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with One Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of One Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing One Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

One Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how One Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading One Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying One Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify One Group Hospitality entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

One Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of One Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in One Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting one stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for One Group

The number of cover stories for One Group depends on current market conditions and One Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that One Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about One Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

One Group Short Properties

One Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when One Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of One Group Hospitality often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential One Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. One Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.6 M

Additional Tools for One Stock Analysis

When running One Group's price analysis, check to measure One Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Group is operating at the current time. Most of One Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.