Stoke Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| STOK Stock | USD 30.47 0.11 0.36% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Stoke Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 32.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.21. Stoke Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Stoke Therapeutics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Stoke Therapeutics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Stoke Therapeutics fundamentals over time.
As of now the rsi of Stoke Therapeutics' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.63) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0563 | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.15) | Wall Street Target Price 37.125 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.57) |
Using Stoke Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stoke Therapeutics from the perspective of Stoke Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stoke Therapeutics using Stoke Therapeutics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stoke using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stoke Therapeutics' stock price.
Stoke Therapeutics Short Interest
An investor who is long Stoke Therapeutics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Stoke Therapeutics and may potentially protect profits, hedge Stoke Therapeutics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 19.3017 | Short Percent 0.225 | Short Ratio 12.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.3 M | 50 Day MA 30.0928 |
Stoke Therapeutics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Stoke Therapeutics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stoke. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stoke can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stoke Therapeutics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stoke Therapeutics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stoke Therapeutics.
Stoke Therapeutics Implied Volatility | 1.8 |
Stoke Therapeutics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stoke Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stoke Therapeutics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stoke Therapeutics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stoke Therapeutics' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Stoke Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 32.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.21. Stoke Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 30.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stoke Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Stoke Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Stoke Therapeutics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Stoke Therapeutics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Stoke Therapeutics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Stoke Therapeutics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Stoke Therapeutics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Stoke Therapeutics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Stoke. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Stoke Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stoke price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stoke using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stoke charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Stoke Therapeutics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Stoke Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 32.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28, mean absolute percentage error of 8.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stoke Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stoke Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stoke Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stoke Therapeutics | Stoke Therapeutics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Stoke Therapeutics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Stoke Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stoke Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.81 and 37.15, respectively. We have considered Stoke Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stoke Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stoke Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.3017 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2821 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0799 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 139.2105 |
Predictive Modules for Stoke Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stoke Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Stoke Therapeutics
For every potential investor in Stoke, whether a beginner or expert, Stoke Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stoke Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stoke. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stoke Therapeutics' price trends.Stoke Therapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stoke Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stoke Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stoke Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stoke Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stoke Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stoke Therapeutics' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Stoke Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stoke Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stoke Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stoke Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stoke Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 30.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 30.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.11) |
Stoke Therapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stoke Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stoke Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stoke stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.9 | |||
| Variance | 23.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.84 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.74) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stoke Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Stoke Stock please use our How to buy in Stoke Stock guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stoke Therapeutics. If investors know Stoke will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stoke Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.68 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.172 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Stoke Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stoke that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stoke Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stoke Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stoke Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stoke Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stoke Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stoke Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stoke Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.