Stevanato Group Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| STVN Stock | USD 16.01 0.41 2.63% |
Stevanato Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Stevanato Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Stevanato Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stevanato Group SpA from the perspective of Stevanato Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Stevanato Group SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.36. Stevanato Group after-hype prediction price | USD 16.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Stevanato Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stevanato price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stevanato using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stevanato charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Stevanato Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Stevanato Group SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02, mean absolute percentage error of 1.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stevanato Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stevanato Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stevanato Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stevanato Group | Stevanato Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Stevanato Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Stevanato Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stevanato Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.56 and 19.16, respectively. We have considered Stevanato Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stevanato Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stevanato Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6095 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0222 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0536 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 62.3566 |
Predictive Modules for Stevanato Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stevanato Group SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stevanato Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stevanato Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stevanato Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stevanato Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stevanato Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stevanato Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stevanato Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stevanato Group's historical news coverage. Stevanato Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.71 and 19.31, respectively. We have considered Stevanato Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stevanato Group is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stevanato Group SpA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stevanato Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stevanato Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stevanato Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stevanato Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 3.30 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.01 | 16.01 | 0.00 |
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Stevanato Group Hype Timeline
Stevanato Group SpA is at this time traded for 16.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.13. Stevanato is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Stevanato Group is about 1100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.14. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Stevanato Group was at this time reported as 6.26. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of June 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stevanato Group to cross-verify your projections.Stevanato Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stevanato Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stevanato Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Stevanato Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stevanato Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATR | AptarGroup | 6.64 | 7 per month | 1.11 | 0.15 | 2.93 | (1.51) | 8.45 | |
| MMSI | Merit Medical Systems | (3.27) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.44 | (2.64) | 11.35 | |
| TFX | Teleflex Incorporated | (0.37) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.55 | (2.93) | 22.60 | |
| CHE | Chemed Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.07 | 2.41 | (1.87) | 5.87 | |
| MASI | Masimo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.02 | (2.43) | 10.00 | |
| BLCO | Bausch Lomb Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.1 | 2.96 | (1.76) | 6.84 | |
| NUVL | Nuvalent | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.94 | (3.90) | 15.70 | |
| AVTR | Avantor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.75 | (3.59) | 21.90 | |
| AXSM | Axsome Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.1 | 4.08 | (2.36) | 26.78 | |
| BTSG | BrightSpring Health Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.00 | 0.14 | 3.44 | (3.63) | 11.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Stevanato Group
For every potential investor in Stevanato, whether a beginner or expert, Stevanato Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stevanato Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stevanato. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stevanato Group's price trends.Stevanato Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stevanato Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stevanato Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stevanato Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stevanato Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stevanato Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stevanato Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stevanato Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stevanato Group SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 21139.73 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5942 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.78 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.85 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.44 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.41 |
Stevanato Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stevanato Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stevanato Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stevanato stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Variance | 10.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Stevanato Group
The number of cover stories for Stevanato Group depends on current market conditions and Stevanato Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stevanato Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stevanato Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Stevanato Group Short Properties
Stevanato Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stevanato Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stevanato Group SpA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stevanato Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stevanato Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 272.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 98.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stevanato Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Stevanato diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stevanato Group. If investors know Stevanato will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Stevanato Group data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Stevanato Group SpA requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Stevanato's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Stevanato Group's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Stevanato Group's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stevanato Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stevanato Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Stevanato Group's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.