Hf Sinclair Corp Stock Price Prediction
| DINO Stock | USD 50.77 0.82 1.64% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.389 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0542 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3499 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0013 | Wall Street Target Price 60.4286 |
Using HF Sinclair hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HF Sinclair Corp from the perspective of HF Sinclair response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HF Sinclair using HF Sinclair's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DINO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HF Sinclair's stock price.
HF Sinclair Short Interest
An investor who is long HF Sinclair may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about HF Sinclair and may potentially protect profits, hedge HF Sinclair with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 45.5011 | Short Percent 0.0691 | Short Ratio 4.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.6 M | 50 Day MA 49.959 |
HF Sinclair Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to HF Sinclair's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DINO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DINO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HF Sinclair Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HF Sinclair's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HF Sinclair.
HF Sinclair Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
HF Sinclair's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HF Sinclair Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HF Sinclair's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HF Sinclair stock will not fluctuate a lot when HF Sinclair's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HF Sinclair to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DINO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HF Sinclair after-hype prediction price | USD 50.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DINO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HF Sinclair Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With HF Sinclair trading at USD 50.77, that is roughly USD 0.0171 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HF Sinclair's daily price movement you should consider acquiring HF Sinclair Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out HF Sinclair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. HF Sinclair After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HF Sinclair at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HF Sinclair or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HF Sinclair, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HF Sinclair Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HF Sinclair's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HF Sinclair's historical news coverage. HF Sinclair's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.87 and 52.67, respectively. We have considered HF Sinclair's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HF Sinclair is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HF Sinclair Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
HF Sinclair Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HF Sinclair is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HF Sinclair backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HF Sinclair, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.90 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.77 | 50.77 | 0.00 |
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HF Sinclair Hype Timeline
HF Sinclair Corp is currently traded for 50.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. DINO is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on HF Sinclair is about 382.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.77. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. HF Sinclair Corp last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 1st of September 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out HF Sinclair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.HF Sinclair Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HF Sinclair's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HF Sinclair's future price movements. Getting to know how HF Sinclair's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HF Sinclair may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AR | Antero Resources Corp | (0.59) | 18 per month | 2.19 | 0.01 | 3.99 | (3.89) | 12.23 | |
| OVV | Ovintiv | (0.59) | 11 per month | 1.81 | 0.07 | 3.64 | (3.04) | 8.85 | |
| PAA | Plains All American | (0.59) | 30 per month | 0.51 | 0.24 | 1.84 | (1.26) | 4.09 | |
| DTM | DT Midstream | (0.59) | 30 per month | 0.73 | 0.16 | 2.33 | (1.75) | 5.22 | |
| RRC | Range Resources Corp | (0.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.16 | (3.01) | 9.60 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | (0.82) | 3 per month | 1.10 | 0.01 | 1.82 | (1.86) | 5.96 | |
| PR | Permian Resources | (0.18) | 24 per month | 1.61 | 0.13 | 3.66 | (2.53) | 9.61 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.06 | 2.07 | (2.08) | 5.09 | |
| NFG | National Fuel Gas | (0.82) | 3 per month | 1.03 | (0.04) | 1.72 | (1.54) | 5.52 | |
| APA | APA Corporation | (0.59) | 30 per month | 2.16 | 0.02 | 4.70 | (3.50) | 14.33 |
HF Sinclair Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DINO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DINO using various technical indicators. When you analyze DINO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HF Sinclair Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HF Sinclair stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HF Sinclair Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HF Sinclair based on analysis of HF Sinclair hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HF Sinclair's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HF Sinclair's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0323 | 0.0659 | 0.0439 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.33 | 0.27 | 0.44 |
Pair Trading with HF Sinclair
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if HF Sinclair position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in HF Sinclair will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with DINO Stock
Moving against DINO Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to HF Sinclair could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace HF Sinclair when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back HF Sinclair - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling HF Sinclair Corp to buy it.
The correlation of HF Sinclair is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as HF Sinclair moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if HF Sinclair Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for HF Sinclair can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out HF Sinclair Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could DINO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HF Sinclair. Projected growth potential of DINO fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every HF Sinclair data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.389 | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share 2.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
Understanding HF Sinclair Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects DINO's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what HF Sinclair's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push HF Sinclair's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between HF Sinclair's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding HF Sinclair should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, HF Sinclair's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.