Surgepays Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SURG Stock | USD 1.13 0.04 3.42% |
Surgepays Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Surgepays' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Surgepays' share price is approaching 33. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Surgepays, making its price go up or down. Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.34) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.055 | Wall Street Target Price 9.75 |
Using Surgepays hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Surgepays from the perspective of Surgepays response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Surgepays using Surgepays' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Surgepays using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Surgepays' stock price.
Surgepays Implied Volatility | 1.82 |
Surgepays' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Surgepays stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Surgepays' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Surgepays stock will not fluctuate a lot when Surgepays' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Surgepays on the next trading day is expected to be 1.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.32. Surgepays after-hype prediction price | USD 1.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Surgepays Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Surgepays' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Surgepays' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Surgepays stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Surgepays' open interest, investors have to compare it to Surgepays' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Surgepays is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Surgepays. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Surgepays Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Surgepays price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Surgepays using various technical indicators. When you analyze Surgepays charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Surgepays Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Surgepays on the next trading day is expected to be 1.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Surgepays Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Surgepays' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Surgepays Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Surgepays | Surgepays Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Surgepays Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Surgepays' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Surgepays' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.44, respectively. We have considered Surgepays' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Surgepays stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Surgepays stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4259 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0243 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0886 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0501 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.315 |
Predictive Modules for Surgepays
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Surgepays. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Surgepays After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Surgepays at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Surgepays or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Surgepays, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Surgepays Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Surgepays' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Surgepays' historical news coverage. Surgepays' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 8.45, respectively. We have considered Surgepays' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Surgepays is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Surgepays is based on 3 months time horizon.
Surgepays Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Surgepays is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Surgepays backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Surgepays, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.01 | 7.31 | 0.01 | 0.25 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.13 | 1.14 | 2.56 |
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Surgepays Hype Timeline
Surgepays is at this time traded for 1.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. Surgepays is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.56%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.01%. The volatility of related hype on Surgepays is about 2959.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.88. About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.53. Surgepays recorded a loss per share of 2.13. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 2nd of November 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Surgepays to cross-verify your projections.Surgepays Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Surgepays' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Surgepays' future price movements. Getting to know how Surgepays' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Surgepays may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KPLT | Katapult Holdings | (2.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.95 | (9.54) | 37.80 | |
| HKIT | Hitek Global Ordinary | 0.09 | 5 per month | 9.68 | 0.03 | 12.23 | (15.12) | 122.99 | |
| PHUN | Phunware | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.24 | (5.94) | 13.16 | |
| NTWK | NetSol Technologies | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.39 | (4.71) | 29.39 | |
| AWRE | Aware Inc | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.10 | (5.95) | 14.94 | |
| MOBX | Mobix Labs | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 12.50 | (13.51) | 61.62 | |
| BLBX | Blackboxstocks | (0.25) | 9 per month | 6.47 | 0.06 | 13.09 | (11.22) | 37.55 | |
| INLX | Intellinetics | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.96 | (3.48) | 11.14 | |
| UPLD | Upland Software | (0.1) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 5.23 | (5.42) | 11.78 | |
| YXT | YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 41.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Surgepays
For every potential investor in Surgepays, whether a beginner or expert, Surgepays' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Surgepays Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Surgepays. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Surgepays' price trends.Surgepays Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Surgepays stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Surgepays could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Surgepays by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Surgepays Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Surgepays stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Surgepays shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Surgepays stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Surgepays entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.13 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 33.86 |
Surgepays Risk Indicators
The analysis of Surgepays' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Surgepays' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting surgepays stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.04 | |||
| Variance | 49.53 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Surgepays
The number of cover stories for Surgepays depends on current market conditions and Surgepays' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Surgepays is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Surgepays' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Surgepays Short Properties
Surgepays' future price predictability will typically decrease when Surgepays' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Surgepays often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Surgepays' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Surgepays' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Surgepays to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Surgepays Stock please use our How to Invest in Surgepays guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Can Wireless Telecommunication Services industry sustain growth momentum? Does Surgepays have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Surgepays. If investors know Surgepays will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Surgepays demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | Earnings Share (2.13) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.916 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Surgepays requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Surgepays's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Surgepays' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Surgepays' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Surgepays' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Surgepays is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Surgepays' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.