SWK Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SWKH Stock  USD 17.20  0.08  0.47%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SWK Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.11. SWK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SWK Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of SWK Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SWK Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SWK Holdings Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SWK Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.571
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.34
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.16
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.1
Wall Street Target Price
18.5
Using SWK Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SWK Holdings Corp from the perspective of SWK Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SWK Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.11.

SWK Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SWK Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in SWK Stock please use our How to Invest in SWK Holdings guide.The SWK Holdings' current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 885.68, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 0. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 7.3 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 12.3 M.

SWK Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SWK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SWK using various technical indicators. When you analyze SWK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for SWK Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

SWK Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SWK Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SWK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SWK Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SWK Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SWK HoldingsSWK Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SWK Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SWK Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SWK Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.89 and 19.51, respectively. We have considered SWK Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.20
17.20
Expected Value
19.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SWK Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SWK Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4972
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0703
MADMean absolute deviation0.1884
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0112
SAESum of the absolute errors11.115
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of SWK Holdings Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of SWK Holdings. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for SWK Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SWK Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.002.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.002.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.7817.1717.56
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.8418.5020.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SWK Holdings

For every potential investor in SWK, whether a beginner or expert, SWK Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SWK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SWK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SWK Holdings' price trends.

SWK Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SWK Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SWK Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SWK Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SWK Holdings Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SWK Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SWK Holdings' current price.

SWK Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SWK Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SWK Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SWK Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SWK Holdings Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SWK Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of SWK Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SWK Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting swk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether SWK Holdings Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SWK Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Swk Holdings Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Swk Holdings Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SWK Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in SWK Stock please use our How to Invest in SWK Holdings guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Specialized Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SWK Holdings. If investors know SWK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SWK Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.571
Earnings Share
1.85
Revenue Per Share
3.292
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.347
Return On Assets
0.0744
The market value of SWK Holdings Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SWK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SWK Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SWK Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SWK Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SWK Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SWK Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SWK Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SWK Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.