Southwestern Medical Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SWNM Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southwestern Medical Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Southwestern Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Southwestern Medical's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Southwestern Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Southwestern Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Southwestern Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Southwestern Medical Solutions, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Southwestern Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southwestern Medical Solutions from the perspective of Southwestern Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southwestern Medical Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Southwestern Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southwestern Medical to cross-verify your projections.

Southwestern Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Southwestern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southwestern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southwestern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Southwestern Medical works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Southwestern Medical Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southwestern Medical Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southwestern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southwestern Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Southwestern Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Southwestern MedicalSouthwestern Medical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Southwestern Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Southwestern Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southwestern Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Southwestern Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southwestern Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southwestern Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Southwestern Medical Solutions prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Southwestern Medical Solutions trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Southwestern Medical observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Southwestern Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southwestern Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Southwestern Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Southwestern Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southwestern Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Southwestern Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Southwestern Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Southwestern Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southwestern Medical's historical news coverage. Southwestern Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Southwestern Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Southwestern Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southwestern Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.

Southwestern Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southwestern Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southwestern Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southwestern Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Southwestern Medical Hype Timeline

Southwestern Medical is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Southwestern is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southwestern Medical is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Southwestern Medical had 4:1 split on the 2nd of November 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southwestern Medical to cross-verify your projections.

Southwestern Medical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Southwestern Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southwestern Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Southwestern Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southwestern Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TCLIFTheraclion SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CGHCCptl Grp Hldngs 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
KKURChromoCure 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ACNVAccelera Innovations 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CEVECeres Ventures 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ABMTAdvanced Biomedical Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  150.00 
MDITMedite Cancer Diagnostics 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NEUNNeurogenesis 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GSRXGSRX Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AHGIFAlternate Health Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Southwestern Medical

For every potential investor in Southwestern, whether a beginner or expert, Southwestern Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southwestern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southwestern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southwestern Medical's price trends.

Southwestern Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southwestern Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southwestern Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southwestern Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Southwestern Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southwestern Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southwestern Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southwestern Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Southwestern Medical Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Southwestern Medical

The number of cover stories for Southwestern Medical depends on current market conditions and Southwestern Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southwestern Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southwestern Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Southwestern Medical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Southwestern Medical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Southwestern Medical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Southwestern Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southwestern Medical to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southwestern Medical. If investors know Southwestern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southwestern Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Southwestern Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southwestern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southwestern Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southwestern Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southwestern Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southwestern Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southwestern Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southwestern Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southwestern Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.