Schweizerische Nationalbank Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SWZNF Stock  USD 3,750  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Schweizerische Nationalbank on the next trading day is expected to be 3,750 with a mean absolute deviation of 24.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,430. Schweizerische Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Schweizerische Nationalbank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Schweizerische Nationalbank works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Schweizerische Nationalbank Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Schweizerische Nationalbank on the next trading day is expected to be 3,750 with a mean absolute deviation of 24.23, mean absolute percentage error of 5,304, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,430.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Schweizerische Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Schweizerische Nationalbank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Schweizerische Nationalbank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Schweizerische Nationalbank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Schweizerische Nationalbank's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Schweizerische Nationalbank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3,748 and 3,752, respectively. We have considered Schweizerische Nationalbank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3,750
3,750
Expected Value
3,752
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Schweizerische Nationalbank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Schweizerische Nationalbank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 10.5506
MADMean absolute deviation24.229
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.006
SAESum of the absolute errors1429.5088
When Schweizerische Nationalbank prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Schweizerische Nationalbank trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Schweizerische Nationalbank observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Schweizerische Nationalbank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schweizerische Nationalbank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,7483,7503,752
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,1573,1594,125
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Schweizerische Nationalbank

For every potential investor in Schweizerische, whether a beginner or expert, Schweizerische Nationalbank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Schweizerische Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Schweizerische. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Schweizerische Nationalbank's price trends.

Schweizerische Nationalbank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Schweizerische Nationalbank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Schweizerische Nationalbank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Schweizerische Nationalbank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Schweizerische Nationalbank Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Schweizerische Nationalbank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Schweizerische Nationalbank's current price.

Schweizerische Nationalbank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Schweizerische Nationalbank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Schweizerische Nationalbank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Schweizerische Nationalbank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Schweizerische Nationalbank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Schweizerische Nationalbank Risk Indicators

The analysis of Schweizerische Nationalbank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Schweizerische Nationalbank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting schweizerische pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Schweizerische Pink Sheet

Schweizerische Nationalbank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schweizerische Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schweizerische with respect to the benefits of owning Schweizerische Nationalbank security.