Symbotic Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SYM Stock | USD 62.08 1.43 2.25% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Symbotic on the next trading day is expected to be 55.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 317.25. Symbotic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Symbotic's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Symbotic's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Symbotic fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Symbotic's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0856 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4588 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7788 | Wall Street Target Price 61.6738 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0758 |
Using Symbotic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Symbotic from the perspective of Symbotic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Symbotic using Symbotic's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Symbotic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Symbotic's stock price.
Symbotic Short Interest
An investor who is long Symbotic may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Symbotic and may potentially protect profits, hedge Symbotic with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 49.9915 | Short Percent 0.3043 | Short Ratio 3.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 13 M | 50 Day MA 63.9383 |
Symbotic Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Symbotic's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Symbotic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Symbotic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Symbotic. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Symbotic Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
Symbotic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Symbotic stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Symbotic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Symbotic stock will not fluctuate a lot when Symbotic's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Symbotic on the next trading day is expected to be 55.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 317.25. Symbotic after-hype prediction price | USD 62.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Symbotic to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Symbotic contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Symbotic will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Symbotic trading at USD 62.08, that is roughly USD 0.0341 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Symbotic's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Symbotic options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Symbotic Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Symbotic's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Symbotic's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Symbotic stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Symbotic's open interest, investors have to compare it to Symbotic's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Symbotic is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Symbotic. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Symbotic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Symbotic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Symbotic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Symbotic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Symbotic Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Symbotic's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2020-09-30 | Previous Quarter 777.6 M | Current Value 1.2 B | Quarterly Volatility 376.7 M |
Symbotic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Symbotic on the next trading day is expected to be 55.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.20, mean absolute percentage error of 52.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 317.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Symbotic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Symbotic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Symbotic Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Symbotic | Symbotic Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Symbotic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Symbotic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Symbotic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.86 and 63.26, respectively. We have considered Symbotic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Symbotic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Symbotic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.0628 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.2009 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0782 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 317.2523 |
Predictive Modules for Symbotic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Symbotic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Symbotic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Symbotic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Symbotic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Symbotic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Symbotic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Symbotic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Symbotic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Symbotic's historical news coverage. Symbotic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.40 and 69.94, respectively. We have considered Symbotic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Symbotic is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Symbotic is based on 3 months time horizon.
Symbotic Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Symbotic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Symbotic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Symbotic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 7.70 | 0.09 | 0.36 | 24 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 24 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
62.08 | 62.17 | 0.14 |
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Symbotic Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Symbotic is traded for 62.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.36. Symbotic is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 62.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Symbotic is about 149.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.72. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.25 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (14.11 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 421.97 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 24 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Symbotic to cross-verify your projections.Symbotic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Symbotic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Symbotic's future price movements. Getting to know how Symbotic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Symbotic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ROP | Roper Technologies | 6.54 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.54 | (2.35) | 7.40 | |
| AME | Ametek Inc | 1.61 | 9 per month | 0.65 | 0.13 | 2.39 | (1.39) | 9.36 | |
| FERG | Ferguson Plc | (1.72) | 11 per month | 2.02 | 0.01 | 2.77 | (2.56) | 11.07 | |
| ROK | Rockwell Automation | 2.12 | 8 per month | 1.22 | 0.13 | 2.72 | (1.91) | 8.52 | |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | 4.38 | 8 per month | 0.74 | 0.18 | 3.68 | (1.63) | 7.16 | |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 1.35 | 18 per month | 1.20 | (0.02) | 2.00 | (1.99) | 5.49 | |
| GWW | WW Grainger | (3.47) | 7 per month | 1.01 | 0.05 | 2.85 | (1.69) | 7.07 | |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corp | (63.63) | 28 per month | 1.64 | (0.03) | 4.09 | (2.33) | 8.90 | |
| CMI | Cummins | 1.35 | 3 per month | 1.16 | 0.23 | 2.87 | (2.39) | 9.83 | |
| FER | Ferrovial SE | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.92 | 0.03 | 1.94 | (1.65) | 6.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for Symbotic
For every potential investor in Symbotic, whether a beginner or expert, Symbotic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Symbotic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Symbotic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Symbotic's price trends.Symbotic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Symbotic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Symbotic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Symbotic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Symbotic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Symbotic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Symbotic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Symbotic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Symbotic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Symbotic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Symbotic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Symbotic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting symbotic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.73 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.64 | |||
| Variance | 58.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 42.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 41.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Symbotic
The number of cover stories for Symbotic depends on current market conditions and Symbotic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Symbotic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Symbotic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Symbotic Short Properties
Symbotic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Symbotic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Symbotic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Symbotic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Symbotic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Symbotic to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Symbotic Stock, please use our How to Invest in Symbotic guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Symbotic. If investors know Symbotic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Symbotic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.16) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.095 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Symbotic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Symbotic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Symbotic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Symbotic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Symbotic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Symbotic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Symbotic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Symbotic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Symbotic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.