Cummins Stock Price Prediction
| CMI Stock | USD 577.86 1.63 0.28% |
Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.6948 | EPS Estimate Current Year 21.968 | EPS Estimate Next Year 25.8889 | Wall Street Target Price 560.5742 |
Using Cummins hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cummins from the perspective of Cummins response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cummins using Cummins' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cummins using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cummins' stock price.
Cummins Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cummins' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cummins. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cummins stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 405.6549 | Short Percent 0.0153 | Short Ratio 2.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 520.2442 |
Cummins Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cummins' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cummins. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cummins can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cummins. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cummins' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cummins.
Cummins Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
Cummins' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cummins stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cummins' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cummins stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cummins' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cummins to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cummins because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cummins after-hype prediction price | USD 582.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cummins contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cummins will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Cummins trading at USD 577.86, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cummins' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cummins options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Cummins Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Cummins After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cummins at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cummins or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cummins, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cummins Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cummins' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cummins' historical news coverage. Cummins' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 520.07 and 583.77, respectively. We have considered Cummins' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cummins is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cummins is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cummins Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cummins is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cummins backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cummins, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 1.74 | 4.17 | 0.33 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
577.86 | 582.03 | 0.72 |
|
Cummins Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Cummins is traded for 577.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.33. Cummins is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 582.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 20.05%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.72%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Cummins is about 253.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 578.19. The company reported the last year's revenue of 34.1 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.07 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.74 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Cummins Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cummins Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cummins' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cummins' future price movements. Getting to know how Cummins' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cummins may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 1.50 | 9 per month | 1.47 | (0.04) | 2.40 | (2.82) | 6.22 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | 1.48 | 10 per month | 1.22 | (0.01) | 2.27 | (1.93) | 6.71 | |
| ROP | Roper Technologies | 0.14 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.13 | (2.41) | 12.33 | |
| FDX | FedEx | (4.14) | 8 per month | 0.60 | 0.26 | 2.61 | (1.59) | 7.76 | |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern | 6.71 | 9 per month | 1.06 | (0.06) | 1.98 | (1.56) | 5.69 | |
| AME | Ametek Inc | 4.06 | 7 per month | 0.59 | 0.13 | 2.39 | (1.34) | 9.36 | |
| URI | United Rentals | (4.28) | 9 per month | 1.60 | (0.04) | 3.90 | (2.81) | 8.83 | |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.77 | 0.18 | 3.68 | (1.63) | 7.16 | |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | 0.56 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.48 | (2.05) | 6.94 | |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | 0.89 | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.01 | 2.27 | (2.04) | 5.63 |
Cummins Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cummins price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cummins using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cummins charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cummins Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cummins stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cummins, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cummins based on analysis of Cummins hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cummins's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cummins's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0271 | 0.0201 | 0.0231 | 0.0292 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.0 | 1.41 | 1.27 | 1.34 |
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Complementary Tools for Cummins Stock analysis
When running Cummins' price analysis, check to measure Cummins' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cummins is operating at the current time. Most of Cummins' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cummins' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cummins' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cummins to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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