Synaptics Incorporated Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SYNA Stock | USD 82.51 3.38 3.94% |
Synaptics Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Synaptics Incorporated stock prices and determine the direction of Synaptics Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Synaptics Incorporated's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Synaptics Incorporated's share price is at 52. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Synaptics Incorporated, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1074 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3459 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.2508 | Wall Street Target Price 91.8182 |
Using Synaptics Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Synaptics Incorporated from the perspective of Synaptics Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Synaptics Incorporated using Synaptics Incorporated's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Synaptics using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Synaptics Incorporated's stock price.
Synaptics Incorporated Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Synaptics Incorporated's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Synaptics. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Synaptics Incorporated stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 68.2708 | Short Percent 0.1681 | Short Ratio 5.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 76.9724 |
Synaptics Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Synaptics Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 88.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 230.53.Synaptics Incorporated Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Synaptics Incorporated's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Synaptics. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Synaptics can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Synaptics Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Synaptics Incorporated's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Synaptics Incorporated.
Synaptics Incorporated Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
Synaptics Incorporated's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Synaptics Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Synaptics Incorporated's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Synaptics Incorporated stock will not fluctuate a lot when Synaptics Incorporated's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Synaptics Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 88.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 230.53. Synaptics Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 84.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Synaptics contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Synaptics Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Synaptics Incorporated trading at USD 82.51, that is roughly USD 0.0376 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Synaptics Incorporated's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Synaptics Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Synaptics Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Synaptics Incorporated's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Synaptics Incorporated's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Synaptics Incorporated stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Synaptics Incorporated's open interest, investors have to compare it to Synaptics Incorporated's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Synaptics Incorporated is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Synaptics. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Synaptics Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Synaptics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Synaptics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Synaptics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Synaptics Incorporated Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Synaptics Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 88.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.72, mean absolute percentage error of 19.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 230.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Synaptics Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Synaptics Incorporated's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Synaptics Incorporated Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Synaptics Incorporated | Synaptics Incorporated Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Synaptics Incorporated Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Synaptics Incorporated's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Synaptics Incorporated's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.28 and 91.60, respectively. We have considered Synaptics Incorporated's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Synaptics Incorporated stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Synaptics Incorporated stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.9012 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.7183 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0504 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 230.5333 |
Predictive Modules for Synaptics Incorporated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Synaptics Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Synaptics Incorporated After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Synaptics Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Synaptics Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Synaptics Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Synaptics Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Synaptics Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Synaptics Incorporated's historical news coverage. Synaptics Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.56 and 87.88, respectively. We have considered Synaptics Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Synaptics Incorporated is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Synaptics Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Synaptics Incorporated Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Synaptics Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Synaptics Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Synaptics Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 3.16 | 2.21 | 0.14 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
82.51 | 84.72 | 2.68 |
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Synaptics Incorporated Hype Timeline
Synaptics Incorporated is at this time traded for 82.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Synaptics is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 84.72 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 41.52%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 2.68%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Synaptics Incorporated is about 635.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 82.37. Synaptics Incorporated currently holds 880.2 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.82, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Synaptics Incorporated to cross-verify your projections.Synaptics Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Synaptics Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Synaptics Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Synaptics Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Synaptics Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVTS | Navitas Semiconductor Corp | (0.22) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.60 | (9.92) | 32.37 | |
| ACMR | Acm Research | 1.51 | 10 per month | 4.58 | 0.10 | 6.59 | (4.62) | 24.17 | |
| ACLS | Axcelis Technologies | 0.84 | 13 per month | 2.58 | 0.03 | 5.46 | (4.04) | 12.52 | |
| DIOD | Diodes Incorporated | 0.22 | 10 per month | 2.87 | 0.02 | 5.26 | (3.16) | 17.49 | |
| VSH | Vishay Intertechnology | (0.03) | 11 per month | 2.38 | 0.09 | 6.56 | (4.05) | 10.69 | |
| POWI | Power Integrations | 0.97 | 9 per month | 2.57 | 0.05 | 4.95 | (3.75) | 10.65 | |
| AMBA | Ambarella | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.30 | (4.88) | 24.30 | |
| GRND | Grindr Inc | (1.69) | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.70 | (3.77) | 23.18 | |
| SIMO | Silicon Motion Technology | (6.69) | 8 per month | 2.59 | 0.07 | 4.25 | (5.47) | 23.47 | |
| DQ | Daqo New Energy | (0.03) | 9 per month | 3.74 | 0 | 8.89 | (6.41) | 25.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Synaptics Incorporated
For every potential investor in Synaptics, whether a beginner or expert, Synaptics Incorporated's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Synaptics Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Synaptics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Synaptics Incorporated's price trends.Synaptics Incorporated Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Synaptics Incorporated stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Synaptics Incorporated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Synaptics Incorporated by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Synaptics Incorporated Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Synaptics Incorporated stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Synaptics Incorporated shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Synaptics Incorporated stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Synaptics Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 37393.76 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.78) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 83.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 83.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.60) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.38) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.6 |
Synaptics Incorporated Risk Indicators
The analysis of Synaptics Incorporated's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Synaptics Incorporated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting synaptics stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Variance | 9.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Synaptics Incorporated
The number of cover stories for Synaptics Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Synaptics Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Synaptics Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Synaptics Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Synaptics Incorporated Short Properties
Synaptics Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Synaptics Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Synaptics Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Synaptics Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Synaptics Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 452.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Synaptics Incorporated to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Synaptics Stock refer to our How to Trade Synaptics Stock guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Synaptics Incorporated. If investors know Synaptics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Synaptics Incorporated assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Earnings Share (1.17) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.135 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Synaptics Incorporated requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Synaptics's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Synaptics Incorporated's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Synaptics Incorporated's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Synaptics Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Synaptics Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Synaptics Incorporated's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.