Tantech Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TANH Stock | USD 0.96 0.04 4.00% |
Tantech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tantech Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Tantech Holdings' share price is approaching 40. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tantech Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using Tantech Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tantech Holdings from the perspective of Tantech Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tantech Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.97. Tantech Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tantech Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Tantech Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tantech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tantech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tantech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tantech Holdings Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Tantech Holdings' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2012-12-31 | Previous Quarter 32.4 M | Current Value 32.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 13.6 M |
Tantech Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tantech Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tantech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tantech Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tantech Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tantech Holdings | Tantech Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tantech Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tantech Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tantech Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.07, respectively. We have considered Tantech Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tantech Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tantech Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6818 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0323 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0308 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.97 |
Predictive Modules for Tantech Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tantech Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tantech Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tantech Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tantech Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tantech Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tantech Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tantech Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tantech Holdings' historical news coverage. Tantech Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 5.14, respectively. We have considered Tantech Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tantech Holdings is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tantech Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tantech Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tantech Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tantech Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tantech Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 4.13 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.96 | 1.01 | 1.00 |
|
Tantech Holdings Hype Timeline
Tantech Holdings is at this time traded for 0.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Tantech is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.0%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Tantech Holdings is about 1555.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.09. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 42.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.41 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tantech Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Tantech Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tantech Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tantech Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Tantech Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tantech Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SNAX | Stryve Foods | (0.14) | 19 per month | 26.16 | 0.19 | 233.33 | (60.00) | 1,743 | |
| FAMI | Farmmi Inc | 0.15 | 27 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.21 | (7.43) | 19.60 | |
| TKLF | Yoshitsu Co Ltd | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.59 | (6.55) | 17.04 | |
| FEDU | Four Seasons Education | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.00 | (7.55) | 37.12 | |
| BRLS | Borealis Foods | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.67 | (12.50) | 40.56 | |
| YHC | LQR House | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.54 | (6.73) | 29.41 | |
| MGNC | Mag Magna Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.62 | 0.18 | 48.15 | (31.25) | 157.59 | |
| MYND | Myndai | 0.08 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 6.98 | (7.46) | 19.22 | |
| XXII | 22nd Century Group | 2.25 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 9.38 | (10.38) | 36.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tantech Holdings
For every potential investor in Tantech, whether a beginner or expert, Tantech Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tantech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tantech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tantech Holdings' price trends.Tantech Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tantech Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tantech Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tantech Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tantech Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tantech Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tantech Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tantech Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tantech Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 40.75 |
Tantech Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tantech Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tantech Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tantech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.19 | |||
| Variance | 17.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tantech Holdings
The number of cover stories for Tantech Holdings depends on current market conditions and Tantech Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tantech Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tantech Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Tantech Holdings Short Properties
Tantech Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Tantech Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tantech Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tantech Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tantech Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 423.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tantech Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Tantech Stock please use our How to Invest in Tantech Holdings guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tantech Holdings. If investors know Tantech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tantech Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Earnings Share (11.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Tantech Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tantech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tantech Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tantech Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tantech Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tantech Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tantech Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tantech Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tantech Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.