Territorial Bancorp Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TBNKDelisted Stock | USD 8.33 0.09 1.07% |
Territorial Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Territorial Bancorp's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Territorial Bancorp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Territorial Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Territorial Bancorp from the perspective of Territorial Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Territorial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 8.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.30. Territorial Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 8.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Territorial |
Territorial Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Territorial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Territorial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Territorial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Territorial Bancorp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Territorial Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 8.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Territorial Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Territorial Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Territorial Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Territorial Bancorp | Territorial Bancorp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Territorial Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Territorial Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4886 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0282 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1217 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.2992 |
Predictive Modules for Territorial Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Territorial Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Territorial Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Territorial Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Territorial Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Territorial Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Territorial Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Territorial Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Territorial Bancorp's historical news coverage. Territorial Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.33 and 8.33, respectively. We have considered Territorial Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Territorial Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Territorial Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Territorial Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Territorial Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Territorial Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Territorial Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.33 | 8.33 | 0.00 |
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Territorial Bancorp Hype Timeline
Territorial Bancorp is at this time traded for 8.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Territorial is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Territorial Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.33. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.27. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Territorial Bancorp recorded a loss per share of 0.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.Territorial Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Territorial Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Territorial Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Territorial Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Territorial Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CAUD | Collective Audience | 0 | 4 per month | 93.61 | 0.14 | 376.19 | (95.00) | 30,998 | |
| FIAC | Focus Impact Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WEL | Integrated Wellness Acquisition | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.66 | (0.08) | 0.25 | (0.75) | 6.66 | |
| AGBA | AGBA Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| INAQ | Insight Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XFIN | ExcelFin Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ANNA | AleAnna Class A | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.00 | (4.88) | 18.39 | |
| JAQC | Jupiter Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GAMC | Golden Arrow Merger | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Territorial Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Territorial Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Territorial Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Territorial Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Territorial Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Territorial Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Territorial Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Territorial Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Territorial Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Territorial Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Territorial Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Territorial Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting territorial stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Variance | 3.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Territorial Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Territorial Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Territorial Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Territorial Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Territorial Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Territorial Bancorp Short Properties
Territorial Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Territorial Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Territorial Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Territorial Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Territorial Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 123.5 M |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Other Consideration for investing in Territorial Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Territorial Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Territorial Bancorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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