Territorial Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| TBNK Stock | USD 10.94 0.12 1.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.28) | Wall Street Target Price 11.67 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.05) |
Using Territorial Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Territorial Bancorp from the perspective of Territorial Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Territorial Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Territorial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Territorial Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 10.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Territorial |
Territorial Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Territorial Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Territorial Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Territorial Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Territorial Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Territorial Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Territorial Bancorp's historical news coverage. Territorial Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.29 and 13.65, respectively. We have considered Territorial Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Territorial Bancorp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Territorial Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Territorial Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Territorial Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Territorial Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Territorial Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.68 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 15 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.94 | 10.97 | 0.27 |
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Territorial Bancorp Hype Timeline
Territorial Bancorp is at this time traded for 10.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Territorial is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Territorial Bancorp is about 7488.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.95. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 45.1 M. Net Income was 5.03 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 60.27 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Territorial Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Territorial Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Territorial Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Territorial Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Territorial Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Territorial Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Territorial Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Territorial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Territorial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Territorial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Territorial Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Territorial Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Territorial Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Territorial Bancorp based on analysis of Territorial Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Territorial Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Territorial Bancorp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0447 | 0.0426 | 0.0666 | 0.0699 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.78 | 3.57 | 2.13 | 2.03 |
Story Coverage note for Territorial Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Territorial Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Territorial Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Territorial Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Territorial Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Territorial Bancorp Short Properties
Territorial Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Territorial Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Territorial Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Territorial Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Territorial Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126.7 M |
Check out Territorial Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Territorial Stock please use our How to buy in Territorial Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Territorial Bancorp. If investors know Territorial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Territorial Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share (0.26) | Revenue Per Share 4.211 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.26) |
The market value of Territorial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Territorial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Territorial Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Territorial Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Territorial Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Territorial Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Territorial Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Territorial Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Territorial Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.