TechCreate Stock Forward View

TCGL Stock   172.84  27.16  13.58%   
TechCreate Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although TechCreate's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of TechCreate's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of TechCreate fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of TechCreate's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TechCreate's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TechCreate and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TechCreate's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TechCreate Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TechCreate hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TechCreate Group from the perspective of TechCreate response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TechCreate Group on the next trading day is expected to be 231.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 508.91.

TechCreate after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 172.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TechCreate to cross-verify your projections.

TechCreate Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TechCreate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TechCreate using various technical indicators. When you analyze TechCreate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

TechCreate Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the TechCreate's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.4 M
Current Value
1.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
112.3 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for TechCreate is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of TechCreate Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

TechCreate Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TechCreate Group on the next trading day is expected to be 231.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.34, mean absolute percentage error of 187.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 508.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TechCreate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TechCreate's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TechCreate Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TechCreate  TechCreate Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

TechCreate Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TechCreate's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TechCreate's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 113.30 and 349.75, respectively. We have considered TechCreate's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
172.84
113.30
Downside
231.52
Expected Value
349.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TechCreate stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TechCreate stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.3447
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation8.3428
MAPEMean absolute percentage error1.0292
SAESum of the absolute errors508.9118
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of TechCreate Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict TechCreate. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for TechCreate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TechCreate Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.61172.2917,456
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.49109.8017,394
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TechCreate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TechCreate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TechCreate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TechCreate Group.

TechCreate After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TechCreate at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TechCreate or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TechCreate, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TechCreate Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TechCreate's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TechCreate's historical news coverage. TechCreate's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.61 and 17,456, respectively. We have considered TechCreate's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
172.84
172.29
After-hype Price
17,456
Upside
TechCreate is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TechCreate Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

TechCreate Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TechCreate is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TechCreate backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TechCreate, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  18.38 
118.23
  0.55 
  2.02 
3 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
172.84
172.29
0.32 
394,100  
Notes

TechCreate Hype Timeline

TechCreate Group is at this time traded for 172.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.55, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.02. TechCreate is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 172.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 18.38%. The volatility of related hype on TechCreate is about 107481.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 170.82. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TechCreate to cross-verify your projections.

TechCreate Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TechCreate's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TechCreate's future price movements. Getting to know how TechCreate's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TechCreate may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MLGOMicroAlgo(0.02)6 per month 0.00 (0.19) 9.56 (10.30) 28.92 
IDNIntellicheck Mobilisa(0.12)10 per month 3.44  0.03  5.94 (5.49) 47.19 
OPTXSyntec Optics Holdings(0.14)7 per month 6.73  0.21  19.23 (11.11) 48.48 
GAUZGauzy Ltd Ordinary(0.12)11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 20.18 (17.52) 102.16 
NANano Labs(0.05)7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 7.45 (7.27) 38.30 
PSQHPSQ Holdings(0.04)10 per month 0.00 (0.27) 6.67 (8.53) 19.40 
RSSSResearch Solutions 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.46 (5.63) 20.31 
VHCVirnetX Holding Corp(0.50)4 per month 0.00 (0.09) 6.47 (7.56) 25.58 
INTTinTest 0.06 8 per month 4.24  0.04  6.40 (7.34) 16.21 
HPAIHelport AI Limited(0.19)7 per month 4.10 (0.0005) 7.14 (5.80) 23.89 

Other Forecasting Options for TechCreate

For every potential investor in TechCreate, whether a beginner or expert, TechCreate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TechCreate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TechCreate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TechCreate's price trends.

TechCreate Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TechCreate stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TechCreate could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TechCreate by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TechCreate Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TechCreate stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TechCreate shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TechCreate stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TechCreate Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TechCreate Risk Indicators

The analysis of TechCreate's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TechCreate's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting techcreate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TechCreate

The number of cover stories for TechCreate depends on current market conditions and TechCreate's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TechCreate is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TechCreate's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether TechCreate Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze TechCreate's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TechCreate's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TechCreate Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TechCreate to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Software - Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TechCreate. If investors know TechCreate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive TechCreate assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate TechCreate Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating TechCreate's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause TechCreate's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TechCreate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TechCreate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, TechCreate's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.