Trustcash Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Trustcash Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000028 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000946 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006. Trustcash Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Trustcash Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Trustcash Holdings' Total Liabilities is increasing as compared to previous years. The Trustcash Holdings' current Short and Long Term Debt is estimated to increase to about 1207500 T, while Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease to under 101.5 K.

Trustcash Holdings Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Trustcash Holdings' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
17.7 K
Current Value
16.9 K
Quarterly Volatility
86.6 T
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Trustcash Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Trustcash Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Trustcash Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Trustcash Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000028 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000946, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Trustcash Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Trustcash Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Trustcash Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Trustcash Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Trustcash Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Trustcash Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 126.82, respectively. We have considered Trustcash Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.000028
Expected Value
126.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Trustcash Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Trustcash Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.8079
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Trustcash Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Trustcash Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Trustcash Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trustcash Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0050.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0050.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Trustcash Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Trustcash Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Trustcash Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Trustcash Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Trustcash Holdings

For every potential investor in Trustcash, whether a beginner or expert, Trustcash Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trustcash Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trustcash. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trustcash Holdings' price trends.

Trustcash Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trustcash Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trustcash Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trustcash Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Trustcash Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Trustcash Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Trustcash Holdings' current price.

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When determining whether Trustcash Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Trustcash Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Trustcash Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Trustcash Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trustcash Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Trustcash Stock please use our How to Invest in Trustcash Holdings guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trustcash Holdings. If investors know Trustcash will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trustcash Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.002
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.23
The market value of Trustcash Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trustcash that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trustcash Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trustcash Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trustcash Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trustcash Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trustcash Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trustcash Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trustcash Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.