Federal Screw Works Stock Price Patterns
| FSCR Stock | USD 9.80 0.30 3.16% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Federal Screw hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federal Screw Works from the perspective of Federal Screw response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Federal Screw to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Federal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Federal Screw after-hype prediction price | USD 9.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Federal |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federal Screw's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federal Screw After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Federal Screw at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Federal Screw or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Federal Screw, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Federal Screw Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Federal Screw's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Federal Screw's historical news coverage. Federal Screw's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.73 and 11.87, respectively. We have considered Federal Screw's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Federal Screw is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federal Screw Works is based on 3 months time horizon.
Federal Screw Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Federal Screw is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Federal Screw backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Federal Screw, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.09 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.80 | 9.80 | 0.00 |
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Federal Screw Hype Timeline
Federal Screw Works is currently traded for 9.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Federal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Federal Screw is about 1251.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.79. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.6. Federal Screw Works recorded a loss per share of 1.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of September 2018. The firm had 5:4 split on the 2nd of April 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Federal Screw Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Federal Screw Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Federal Screw's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Federal Screw's future price movements. Getting to know how Federal Screw's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Federal Screw may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MCD | McDonalds | (0.66) | 6 per month | 0.87 | 0.07 | 2.16 | (1.49) | 4.64 | |
| GSFP | Goldman Sachs | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.33 | 0.22 | 1.27 | (1.10) | 3.10 | |
| PXGYF | PAX Global Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.92 | (6.15) | 14.79 | |
| SPSTY | Singapore Post Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.10 | (0.02) | 3.81 | (4.50) | 16.23 | |
| MKDW | MKDWELL Tech Ordinary | 0.45 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 7.84 | (17.93) | 36.75 | |
| SPSTF | Singapore Post Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.92 | |
| CAPR | Capricor Therapeutics | (2.16) | 10 per month | 4.33 | 0.12 | 11.51 | (8.29) | 386.29 | |
| LPSN | LivePerson | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 5.50 | (7.19) | 25.36 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | 0.49 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.94 | (3.14) | 11.68 | |
| SKLTY | Seek Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.18 | (3.41) | 10.85 |
Federal Screw Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Federal Screw Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Federal Screw stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Federal Screw Works, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal Screw based on analysis of Federal Screw hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Federal Screw's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Federal Screw's related companies.
Pair Trading with Federal Screw
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Federal Screw position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Federal Screw will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Federal Pink Sheet
| 0.39 | WMT | Walmart Common Stock Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | MCD | McDonalds Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Federal Screw could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Federal Screw when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Federal Screw - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Federal Screw Works to buy it.
The correlation of Federal Screw is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Federal Screw moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Federal Screw Works moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Federal Screw can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Federal Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Federal Screw's price analysis, check to measure Federal Screw's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Screw is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Screw's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Screw's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Screw's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Screw to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.