Transdigm Group Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| TDG Stock | USD 1,300 14.57 1.13% |
Transdigm Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Transdigm Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Transdigm Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 9.1957 | EPS Estimate Current Year 38.9722 | EPS Estimate Next Year 46.0329 | Wall Street Target Price 1.6 K |
Using Transdigm Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Transdigm Group Incorporated from the perspective of Transdigm Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Transdigm Group using Transdigm Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Transdigm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Transdigm Group's stock price.
Transdigm Group Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Transdigm Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Transdigm. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Transdigm Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 1.4 K | Short Percent 0.0284 | Short Ratio 3.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 1.4 K |
Transdigm Relative Strength Index
Transdigm Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Transdigm Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Transdigm. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Transdigm can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Transdigm Group Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Transdigm Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Transdigm Group.
Transdigm Group Implied Volatility | 0.33 |
Transdigm Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Transdigm Group Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Transdigm Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Transdigm Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Transdigm Group's options are near their expiration.
Transdigm Group after-hype prediction price | USD 1300.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Transdigm contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Transdigm Group Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0206% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Transdigm Group trading at USD 1300.1, that is roughly USD 0.27 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Transdigm Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Transdigm Group Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Transdigm Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Transdigm Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Transdigm Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Transdigm Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Transdigm Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Transdigm Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Transdigm Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Transdigm. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Transdigm Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Transdigm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Transdigm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Transdigm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 8971.76 | 8566.06 |
| Check Transdigm Group Volatility | Backtest Transdigm Group | Information Ratio |
Transdigm Group Trading Date Momentum
| On February 09 2026 Transdigm Group Incorporated was traded for 1,300 at the closing time. Highest Transdigm Group's price during the trading hours was 1,306 and the lowest price during the day was 1,276 . The net volume was 376.1 K. The overall trading history on the 9th of February did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 1.59% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Transdigm Group to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Transdigm Group
For every potential investor in Transdigm, whether a beginner or expert, Transdigm Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Transdigm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Transdigm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Transdigm Group's price trends.Transdigm Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Transdigm Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Transdigm Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Transdigm Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Transdigm Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Transdigm Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Transdigm Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Transdigm Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Transdigm Group Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8566.06 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4899 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1290.98 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1294.02 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 16.4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 14.57 |
Transdigm Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Transdigm Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Transdigm Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting transdigm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Variance | 2.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Transdigm Group
The number of cover stories for Transdigm Group depends on current market conditions and Transdigm Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Transdigm Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Transdigm Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Transdigm Group Short Properties
Transdigm Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Transdigm Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Transdigm Group Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Transdigm Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transdigm Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Transdigm Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Can Aerospace & Defense industry sustain growth momentum? Does Transdigm have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Transdigm Group. If investors know Transdigm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Transdigm Group demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Earnings Share 31.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.139 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Transdigm Group requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Transdigm's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Transdigm Group's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Transdigm Group's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Transdigm Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transdigm Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Transdigm Group's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.