Teka Construction Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

TEKA Stock   2.24  0.10  4.67%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Teka Construction PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 2.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.57. Teka Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Teka Construction is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Teka Construction Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Teka Construction PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 2.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teka Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teka Construction's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Teka Construction Stock Forecast Pattern

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Teka Construction Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Teka Construction's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teka Construction's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.53 and 3.95, respectively. We have considered Teka Construction's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.24
2.24
Expected Value
3.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teka Construction stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teka Construction stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.9938
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0036
MADMean absolute deviation0.0266
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0115
SAESum of the absolute errors1.57
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Teka Construction PCL price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Teka Construction. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Teka Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teka Construction PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.532.243.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.191.903.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Teka Construction

For every potential investor in Teka, whether a beginner or expert, Teka Construction's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teka Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teka. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teka Construction's price trends.

Teka Construction Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teka Construction stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teka Construction could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teka Construction by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Teka Construction PCL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Teka Construction's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Teka Construction's current price.

Teka Construction Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teka Construction stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teka Construction shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teka Construction stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teka Construction PCL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Teka Construction Risk Indicators

The analysis of Teka Construction's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teka Construction's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teka stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Teka Stock

Teka Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teka with respect to the benefits of owning Teka Construction security.