TF Bank Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TFBANK Stock  SEK 369.00  2.00  0.54%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TF Bank AB on the next trading day is expected to be 369.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 413.00. TFBANK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TF Bank stock prices and determine the direction of TF Bank AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TF Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
TF Bank simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for TF Bank AB are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as TF Bank AB prices get older.

TF Bank Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TF Bank AB on the next trading day is expected to be 369.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.88, mean absolute percentage error of 86.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 413.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TFBANK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TF Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TF Bank Stock Forecast Pattern

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TF Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TF Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TF Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 366.48 and 371.52, respectively. We have considered TF Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
369.00
366.48
Downside
369.00
Expected Value
371.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TF Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TF Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7353
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.9167
MADMean absolute deviation6.8833
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0188
SAESum of the absolute errors413.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting TF Bank AB forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent TF Bank observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for TF Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TF Bank AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
366.48369.00371.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
305.76308.28405.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
297.73358.13418.53
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TF Bank

For every potential investor in TFBANK, whether a beginner or expert, TF Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TFBANK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TFBANK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TF Bank's price trends.

TF Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TF Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TF Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TF Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TF Bank AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TF Bank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TF Bank's current price.

TF Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TF Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TF Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TF Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TF Bank AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TF Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of TF Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TF Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tfbank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in TFBANK Stock

TF Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether TFBANK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TFBANK with respect to the benefits of owning TF Bank security.