TF Bank Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

TFBANK Stock  SEK 157.40  0.36  0.23%   
TFBANK Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TF Bank stock prices and determine the direction of TF Bank AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of TF Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of TF Bank's share price is approaching 32. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TF Bank, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 32

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TF Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TF Bank AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TF Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TF Bank AB from the perspective of TF Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of TF Bank AB on the next trading day is expected to be 164.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 322.42.

TF Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 157.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TF Bank to cross-verify your projections.

TF Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TFBANK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TFBANK using various technical indicators. When you analyze TFBANK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through TF Bank price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

TF Bank Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of TF Bank AB on the next trading day is expected to be 164.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.29, mean absolute percentage error of 42.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 322.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TFBANK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TF Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TF Bank Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TF Bank  TF Bank Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

TF Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TF Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TF Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 162.11 and 165.88, respectively. We have considered TF Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
157.40
162.11
Downside
164.00
Expected Value
165.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TF Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TF Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.8708
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.2856
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0317
SAESum of the absolute errors322.4199
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as TF Bank AB historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for TF Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TF Bank AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
155.50157.40159.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
127.17129.07173.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.71157.61164.50
Details

TF Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TF Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TF Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TF Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TF Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TF Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TF Bank's historical news coverage. TF Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 155.50 and 159.30, respectively. We have considered TF Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
157.40
155.50
Downside
157.40
After-hype Price
159.30
Upside
TF Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TF Bank AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

TF Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TF Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TF Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TF Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
1.89
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
157.40
157.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

TF Bank Hype Timeline

TF Bank AB is at this time traded for 157.40on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TFBANK is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on TF Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 157.40. About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of TF Bank was at this time reported as 80.69. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.74. TF Bank AB last dividend was issued on the 4th of May 2022. The entity had 1:3 split on the 18th of July 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TF Bank to cross-verify your projections.

TF Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TF Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TF Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how TF Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TF Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for TF Bank

For every potential investor in TFBANK, whether a beginner or expert, TF Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TFBANK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TFBANK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TF Bank's price trends.

TF Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TF Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TF Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TF Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TF Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TF Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TF Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TF Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TF Bank AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TF Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of TF Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TF Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tfbank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TF Bank

The number of cover stories for TF Bank depends on current market conditions and TF Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TF Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TF Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in TFBANK Stock

TF Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether TFBANK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TFBANK with respect to the benefits of owning TF Bank security.