Track Field Stock Forward View
| TFCO4 Stock | BRL 15.63 0.03 0.19% |
Track Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Track Field's share price is approaching 44. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Track Field, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Track Field hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Track Field Co from the perspective of Track Field response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Track Field Co on the next trading day is expected to be 15.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.55. Track Field after-hype prediction price | BRL 15.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Track |
Track Field Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Track price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Track using various technical indicators. When you analyze Track charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Track Field Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Track Field Co on the next trading day is expected to be 15.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Track Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Track Field's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Track Field Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Track Field | Track Field Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Track Field Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Track Field's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Track Field's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.70 and 17.78, respectively. We have considered Track Field's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Track Field stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Track Field stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7042 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4443 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.027 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.5476 |
Predictive Modules for Track Field
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Track Field. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Track Field After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Track Field at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Track Field or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Track Field, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Track Field Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Track Field's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Track Field's historical news coverage. Track Field's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.59 and 17.67, respectively. We have considered Track Field's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Track Field is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Track Field is based on 3 months time horizon.
Track Field Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Track Field is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Track Field backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Track Field, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.63 | 15.63 | 0.00 |
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Track Field Hype Timeline
Track Field is at this time traded for 15.63on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Track is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Track Field is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.63. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Track Field was at this time reported as 2.03. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Track Field to cross-verify your projections.Track Field Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Track Field's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Track Field's future price movements. Getting to know how Track Field's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Track Field may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBFG3 | Grupo SBF SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.85 | 0.07 | 3.75 | (4.22) | 14.14 | |
| BHIA3 | Grupo Casas Bahia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.84 | (4.72) | 31.55 | |
| RANI3 | Irani Papel e | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.06 | 2.29 | (1.85) | 5.97 | |
| GUAR3 | Guararapes Confeces SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.34 | 0.07 | 6.58 | (4.23) | 40.50 | |
| AMAR3 | Marisa Lojas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.94 | (2.52) | 7.15 | |
| PCAR3 | Companhia Brasileira de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.15 | 0.03 | 4.21 | (4.01) | 10.69 | |
| TUPY3 | Tupy SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.09 | 0.01 | 3.38 | (3.30) | 12.73 | |
| PETZ3 | Pet Center Comrcio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.58 | 0.07 | 4.50 | (3.44) | 19.73 | |
| MYPK3 | Iochpe Maxion SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | (0.03) | 2.19 | (2.77) | 6.22 | |
| LEVE3 | MAHLE Metal Leve | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.16 | 3.53 | (2.42) | 11.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Track Field
For every potential investor in Track, whether a beginner or expert, Track Field's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Track Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Track. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Track Field's price trends.Track Field Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Track Field stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Track Field could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Track Field by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Track Field Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Track Field stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Track Field shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Track Field stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Track Field Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Track Field Risk Indicators
The analysis of Track Field's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Track Field's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting track stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Track Field
The number of cover stories for Track Field depends on current market conditions and Track Field's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Track Field is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Track Field's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Track Field Short Properties
Track Field's future price predictability will typically decrease when Track Field's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Track Field Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Track Field's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Track Field's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 930.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.8 M |
Additional Tools for Track Stock Analysis
When running Track Field's price analysis, check to measure Track Field's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Track Field is operating at the current time. Most of Track Field's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Track Field's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Track Field's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Track Field to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.