Track Field (Brazil) Performance

TFCO4 Stock  BRL 15.63  0.03  0.19%   
The entity has a beta of 0.94, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Track Field returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Track Field is expected to follow. At this point, Track Field has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to validate Track Field's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Track Field performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Track Field Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow89.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-13.6 M
  

Track Field Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,791  in Track Field Co on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (231.00) from holding Track Field Co or give up 12.9% of portfolio value over 90 days. Track Field Co is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.0412% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Track, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Track Field is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.74 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Track Field Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Track Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.63 90 days 15.63 
about 82.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Track Field to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.89 (This Track Field Co probability density function shows the probability of Track Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Track Field has a beta of 0.94. This usually implies Track Field Co market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Track Field is expected to follow. Additionally Track Field Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Track Field Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Track Field

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Track Field. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5615.6017.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9415.9818.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.7615.8017.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.8615.7516.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Track Field. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Track Field's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Track Field's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Track Field.

Track Field Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Track Field is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Track Field's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Track Field Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Track Field within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Track Field Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Track Field for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Track Field can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Track Field generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Track Field Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Track Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Track Field's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Track Field's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding930.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments66.8 M

Track Field Fundamentals Growth

Track Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Track Field, and Track Field fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Track Stock performance.

About Track Field Performance

Assessing Track Field's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Track Field's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Track Field is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Track Field Co S.A. develops and sells sports and leisure products for men, women, and children in Brazil. Track Field Co S.A. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil. TRACK FIELD operates under Apparel Retail classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 858 people.

Things to note about Track Field performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Track Field for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Track Field help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Track Field generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Track Field's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Track Field's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Track Field's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Track Field's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Track Field's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Track Field's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Track Field's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Track Field's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Track Field's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Track Field's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Track Field's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Track Stock Analysis

When running Track Field's price analysis, check to measure Track Field's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Track Field is operating at the current time. Most of Track Field's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Track Field's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Track Field's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Track Field to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.